Match Info
AFLDate: 7 March 2026, SaturdayLocation: The Gabba (Brisbane)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 7 |
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Brisbane Lions |
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Western Bulldogs |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 164.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-15)
- The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Brisbane Lions
69.1% | Western Bulldogs
30.9% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Brisbane Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Western Bulldogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Brisbane Lions - Western Bulldogs Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Brisbane will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Brisbane (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:75 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (19 - 19)
- 01', Kennedy M. (Behind),
- 05', Cameron C. (G),
- 09', Bailey Z. (G),
- 11', Darcy S. (Behind),
- 12', Richards E. (G),
- 16', Bailey Z. (Behind),
- 18', Kennedy M. (Behind),
- 19', Croft J. (Behind),
- 23', (Behind Rushed),
- 26', Zakostelsky Z. (G),
- 30', (Behind Rushed),
- 31', Bontempelli M. (G),
- 33', Williams B. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (24 - 21)
- 03', Allen O. (Behind),
- 04', (Behind Rushed),
- 08', Morris L. (Behind),
- 09', Cameron C. (G),
- 10', Bramble L. (G),
- 13', Ashcroft W. (Behind),
- 15', Cameron C. (G),
- 17', Morris L. (Behind),
- 18', Darcy S. (G),
- 19', Croft J. (Behind),
- 22', Zorko D. (G),
- 24', (Behind Rushed),
- 28', Rayner C. (Behind),
- 29', Budarick C. (G),
- 31', Berry J. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (38 - 28)
- 08', Bontempelli M. (G),
- 09', Darcy S. (Behind),
- 11', Lohmann K. (G),
- 14', Gallop T. (Behind),
- 16', Lohmann K. (G),
- 19', Allen O. (G),
- 21', Williams B. (Behind),
- 25', Morris L. (G),
- 26', Morris L. (G),
- 28', Naughton A. (G),
- 29', Allen O. (Behind),
- 29', West R. (Behind),
- 30', Cameron C. (G),
- 31', Darcy S. (G),
- 33', Williams B. (G),
- 34', Williams B. (Behind),
- 4th Quarter (25 - 43)
- 01', English T. (G),
- 06', (Behind Rushed),
- 07', West R. (G),
- 07', Bailey Z. (Behind),
- 09', (Behind Rushed),
- 10', Richards E. (G),
- 12', Morris L. (G),
- 15', Allen O. (Behind),
- 17', Davidson S. (G),
- 19', Bontempelli M. (G),
- 23', Fort D. (G),
- 25', Rayner C. (G),
- 27', Rayner C. (Behind),
- 28', Naughton A. (G),
- 29', Cameron C. (Behind),
- 31', English T. (G),
- 32', Williams B. (Behind),
- 34', Lohmann K. (Behind),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 4. Brisbane is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1771:1812. (average 88.6:90.6).Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 785:692. (average 98.1:86.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 18.07.25 | Brisbane Lions - Western Bulldogs | 86:76 | | 12.04.25 | Western Bulldogs - Brisbane Lions | 97:118 | | 07.06.24 | Western Bulldogs - Brisbane Lions | 71:114 | | 30.03.23 | Western Bulldogs - Brisbane Lions | 67:53 | | 30.06.22 | Brisbane Lions - Western Bulldogs | 108:67 | | AAMI Community Series | | | 04.03.22 | Western Bulldogs - Brisbane Lions | 80:86 | | AFL | | | 04.09.21 | Brisbane Lions - Western Bulldogs | 78:79 |
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