Match Info

AFL - Round 2

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 2


	Hawthorn Hawks		Sydney Swans

	1	2
	1.33	3.35
	1.35	2.9
			Watch
	1.38	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.85)	3.08 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 184.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-15)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hawthorn Hawks
69.5%

Sydney Swans
30.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.6%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hawthorn Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hawthorn Hawks's performance.

Sydney Swans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sydney Swans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Hawthorn Hawks - Sydney Swans Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Hawthorn will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sydney will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 100:85

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (33 - 38)
01:21, Papley T. (G),
02:50, Gunston J. (Behind),
03:32, Mackenzie C. (G),
06:08, Chol M. (G),
09:20, Rosas Jnr. M. (G),
11:25, Curnow C. (G),
13:03, Chol M. (G),
14:21, Curnow C. (G),
15:25, Macdonald C. (Behind),
17:22, Moore D. (G),
18:59, Warner C. (G),
20:11, Weddle J. (Behind),
21:47, Amartey J. (G),
23:21, Gunston J. (G),
28:29, Papley T. (Behind),
30:23, Curnow C. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (10 - 6)
06:40, Chol M. (Behind),
11:30, Macdonald C. (Behind),
12:45, Gunston J. (Behind),
19:07, Butler S. (G),
21:00, Chol M. (Behind),
24:06, McInerney J. (G),
3rd Quarter (21 - 31)
00:15, McInerney J. (Behind),
01:54, Gunston J. (G),
03:00, Jordon J. (G),
05:53, Warner C. (G),
08:47, McDonald L. (G),
10:35, Grundy B. (G),
13:42, Newcombe J. (G),
16:06, Gunston J. (Behind),
17:32, Moore D. (G),
18:59, Lewis M. (Behind),
23:14, Ginnivan J. (Behind),
31:12, McDonald L. (G),
4th Quarter (35 - 7)
02:06, Gunston J. (Behind),
03:52, Moore D. (G),
04:59, Watson N. (Behind),
06:04, Moore D. (Behind),
06:40, Weddle J. (Behind),
07:26, Nash C. (Behind),
08:58, Lloyd J. (Behind),
12:55, Lewis M. (G),
15:35, McDonald L. (G),
18:39, Gunston J. (G),
24:57, Gunston J. (G),
32:45, Watson N. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 2.

In this match, Hawthorn is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1646:1603. (average 82.3:80.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Hawthorn won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 586:659. (average 73.3:82.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hawthorn Hawks
AFL
13.03.26	Essendon Bombers - Hawthorn Hawks	83:145 ✺
07.03.26	Greater Western Sydney Giants - Hawthorn Hawks	122:95 ✺
19.09.25	Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks	115:85 ✺
12.09.25	Adelaide Crows - Hawthorn Hawks	67:101 ✺
06.09.25	Greater Western Sydney Giants - Hawthorn Hawks	88:107 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLWW
- Sydney Swans
AFL
14.03.26	Sydney Swans - Brisbane Lions	104:60 ✺
05.03.26	Sydney Swans - Carlton Blues	132:69 ✺
23.08.25	West Coast Eagles - Sydney Swans	51:118 ✺
17.08.25	Sydney Swans - Geelong Cats	68:111 ✺
09.08.25	Brisbane Lions - Sydney Swans	90:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

AFL
07.03.25	Sydney Swans - Hawthorn Hawks	76:96
28.04.24	Hawthorn Hawks - Sydney Swans	42:118
25.03.23	Sydney Swans - Hawthorn Hawks	118:37
24.04.22	Hawthorn Hawks - Sydney Swans	68:109
11.06.21	Sydney Swans - Hawthorn Hawks	51:89
25.07.20	Sydney Swans - Hawthorn Hawks	60:53
21.06.19	Sydney Swans - Hawthorn Hawks	82:63

Hawthorn Hawks - Sydney Swans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide