Match Info

NBL - Round 16

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday

Location: Adelaide Entertainment Centre (Adelaide)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 1


	Adelaide 36ers		Tasmania JackJumpers

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.75
	1.35	3
	1.35	2.99	Watch
	1.33	3
	1.38	3.16	Watch
	1.34	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.4)	3.04 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adelaide 36ers
69%

Tasmania JackJumpers
31%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.3%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adelaide 36ers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Tasmania JackJumpers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide 36ers than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tasmania JackJumpers than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Adelaide 36ers - Tasmania JackJumpers Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Adelaide will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Tasmania will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 90.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 170, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +6.5 - Tasmania (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Adelaide 36ers will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 3 - 60%). Tasmania (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Brown T.	33. Bannan J.
1. Cameron F.	0. Hamilton B.
45. Cheatham Z.	22. Magnay W. (C)
11. Cotton B. (C)	11. Marshall N.
8. Humphries I.	14. Richards J.
Substitutes
17. Harris M.	10. Ayre B.
00. Kenyon M.	5. Deng M.
39. Manyang D.	3. Drmic A.
31. Rakocevic N.	7. Johnson D.
22. Rasmussen K.	4. Stoddart N.
34. Vasiljevic D.	15. Woodhill A.
2. White I.
Coaches
. Wells M.	. Roth S.

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 2.

Adelaide has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Tasmania has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tasmania may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Adelaide might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1498:1553. (average 83.2:86.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 740:723. (average 82.2:80.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
1	Tasmania JackJumpers	8	6	2	790:748	0.750
5	Adelaide	8	4	4	710:726	0.500

Outrights of Australian NBL for now

Tasmania JackJumpers: 11.38%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide 36ers
Australian NBL
04.01.26	Brisbane Bullets - Adelaide 36ers	86:97 ✺
02.01.26	Adelaide 36ers - Sydney Kings	85:79 ✺
27.12.25	Adelaide 36ers - Perth Wildcats	95:84 ✺
24.12.25	Adelaide 36ers - Cairns Taipans	93:73 ✺
20.12.25	Illawarra Hawks - Adelaide 36ers	78:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWW
- Tasmania JackJumpers
Australian NBL
03.01.26	Tasmania JackJumpers - Melbourne United	84:75 ✺
31.12.25	Illawarra Hawks - Tasmania JackJumpers	92:90 ✺
29.12.25	Tasmania JackJumpers - South East Melbourne Phoenix	87:84 ✺
26.12.25	Tasmania JackJumpers - New Zealand Breakers	80:81 OT ✺
23.12.25	Melbourne United - Tasmania JackJumpers	73:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL
13.11.25	Tasmania JackJumpers - Adelaide 36ers	86:97
09.10.25	Adelaide 36ers - Tasmania JackJumpers	98:89
Club Friendly Basketball
30.08.25	Tasmania JackJumpers - Adelaide 36ers	97:95
Australian NBL
10.01.25	Tasmania JackJumpers - Adelaide 36ers	104:103 OT
30.11.24	Adelaide 36ers - Tasmania JackJumpers	73:77
20.10.24	Adelaide 36ers - Tasmania JackJumpers	77:73
Club Friendly Basketball
09.09.24	Adelaide 36ers - Tasmania JackJumpers	96:64

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