Match Info

ITALY: LEGA A - ROUND 13

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday

Location: Vitrifrigo Arena (Pesaro)


	Basket Pesaro		Varese

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.4
	1.58	2.4	Watch
	1.62	2.42
	1.63	2.35
	1.61	2.38	Watch
	1.51	2.57	Watch
	1.56	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.43)	2.42 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basket Pesaro
60.6%

Varese
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basket Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Varese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basket Pesaro than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varese than the current prediction. (-5%)

Basket Pesaro - Varese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:84

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Basket Pesaro won 4.

Recent matches Basket Pesaro is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cimberio Varese has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Basket Pesaro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Basket Pesaro will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Basket Pesaro won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 1778-1883.

Including matches at home between the teams Basket Pesaro won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 908-917.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Pesaro
Italian Lega A Basketball
17.12.23	Pistoia Basket - Basket Pesaro	73:74 ✺
10.12.23	Basket Pesaro - Basket Trento	74:87 ✺
02.12.23	Reggiana - Basket Pesaro	101:68 ✺
26.11.23	Basket Pesaro - Treviso Basket	95:76 ✺
19.11.23	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Basket Pesaro	96:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLWL
- Pallacanestro Varese
Italian Lega A Basketball
17.12.23	Varese - Olimpia Milano	70:74 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
13.12.23	Varese - Leiden	79:82 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
10.12.23	Brindisi - Varese	86:81 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
06.12.23	Niners Chemnitz - Varese	109:85 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
03.12.23	Varese - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	68:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
11.03.23	Varese - Basket Pesaro	110:99
Italian Cup Basketball
15.02.23	Basket Pesaro - Varese	84:80
Italian Lega A Basketball
11.12.22	Basket Pesaro - Varese	101:93
20.03.22	Varese - Basket Pesaro	76:87
05.12.21	Basket Pesaro - Varese	94:75
14.03.21	Varese - Basket Pesaro	81:68
08.11.20	Basket Pesaro - Varese	85:78

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