Match Info

ITALY: Lega A - Round 28

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: PalaFerraris (Casale Monferrato)


	Derthona Basket Tortona		Basket Pesaro

	1	2
			Watch
	1.36	2.95
	1.32	3.4
	1.3	3.53
	1.31	3.53
	1.33	3.4
	1.34	3.33	Watch
	1.32	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.36)	3.36 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derthona Basket Tortona
71.7%

Basket Pesaro
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derthona Basket Tortona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Basket Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derthona Basket Tortona than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basket Pesaro than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Derthona Basket Tortona - Basket Pesaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Obasohan R.	5. Bluiett T.
4. Ross C.	20. Cinciarini A.
20. Severini L.	22. Mazzola V.
12. Strautins A.	1. McDuffie M.
35. Thomas T.	11. Wright-Foreman J.
Substitutes
13. Baldasso T.	25. Fainke E.
7. Candi L.	12. Ford Q.
5. Dowe C.	51. Love L.
43. Radosevic L.	13. Maretto O.
8. Tavernelli R.	15. Tambone M.
34. Weems K.	9. Visconti R.
0. Zerini A.
Coaches
. De Raffaele W.	. Sacchetti R.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Tortona is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tortona won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 409-418.

Including matches at home between the teams Tortona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 151-159.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derthona Basket Tortona
Italian Lega A Basketball
13.04.24	Basket Trento - Derthona Basket Tortona	83:81 ✺
06.04.24	Basket Brescia - Derthona Basket Tortona	72:65 ✺
30.03.24	Derthona Basket Tortona - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	87:76 ✺
24.03.24	Derthona Basket Tortona - Varese	90:83 ✺
17.03.24	Scafati - Derthona Basket Tortona	94:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWWL
- Basket Pesaro
Italian Lega A Basketball
13.04.24	Basket Pesaro - Pistoia Basket	89:82 ✺
07.04.24	Dinamo Sassari - Basket Pesaro	91:96 ✺
30.03.24	Treviso Basket - Basket Pesaro	93:89 ✺
24.03.24	Basket Pesaro - Reggiana	69:87 ✺
17.03.24	Basket Pesaro - Virtus Bologna	87:86 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
12.11.23	Basket Pesaro - Derthona Basket Tortona	96:92
07.05.23	Basket Pesaro - Derthona Basket Tortona	82:78
15.10.22	Derthona Basket Tortona - Basket Pesaro	81:73
02.04.22	Derthona Basket Tortona - Basket Pesaro	70:86
17.10.21	Basket Pesaro - Derthona Basket Tortona	81:88

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