Match Info

ACB - Round 21

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Gran Canaria Arena (Las Palmas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport
France	DAZN France
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Poland	SportKlub
Portugal	DAZN 4
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN


	Gran Canaria 2014		Real Madrid

	1	2
	3.5	1.26	Watch
	3.4	1.33
	3.5	1.28	Watch
	3.37	1.34
	3.33	1.31	Watch
	3.25	1.3
	3.36	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↓ (3.6)	1.31 ↑ (1.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gran Canaria 2014
27.9%

Real Madrid
72.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

73.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gran Canaria 2014 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Gran Canaria 2014 - Real Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Gran Canaria will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Real Madrid will win (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gran Canaria: 55.2% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 170.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -4.5, OT - Real Madrid (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gran Canaria 2014 will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Gran Canaria (votes: 4 - 80%). Real Madrid (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Albicy A.	6. Abalde A.
9. Brussino N.	7. Campazzo F.
13. Pelos P.	24. Feliz A.
18. Tobey M.	0. Lyles T.
2. Wong I.	22. Tavares E.
Substitutes
12. Alocen C.	13. Almansa Perez I.
23. Kuath K.	1. Kramer D.
21. Labeyrie L.	25. Len A.
1. Nzambi Maniema L.	23. Llull S.
30. Robertson K.	12. Maledon T.
5. Samar Z.	8. Okeke C.
4. Vila Martinez E.	9. Procida G.
Coaches
. Lakovic J.	. Scariolo S.

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gran Canaria won 0.

Gran Canaria has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Real Madrid is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Real Madrid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Real Madrid has had a series of home games.

In this match, Real Madrid is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gran Canaria won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 18 matches, and goals 1484:1748. (average 74.2:87.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Gran Canaria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 659:745. (average 73.2:82.8).

Outrights of Spanish ACB League for now

Real Madrid: 51.15%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Real Madrid	2	2	0	203:194	4

Last Results with these Odds

Real Madrid - the odds 1.27 are the expected chance of winning is 73.95%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gran Canaria 2014
Spanish ACB League
18.02.26	Gran Canaria 2014 - Bilbao Basket	97:98 OT ✺
14.02.26	Granada - Gran Canaria 2014	83:90 ✺
Champions League Basketball
11.02.26	Trieste - Gran Canaria 2014	70:94 ✺
Spanish ACB League
08.02.26	Gran Canaria 2014 - Baskonia	75:97 ✺
Champions League Basketball
04.02.26	Gran Canaria 2014 - Canarias	72:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWLW
- Real Madrid basketball
Euroleague
05.03.26	Real Madrid - Virtus Bologna	92:84 ✺
26.02.26	Real Madrid - Bayern München	93:70 ✺
Spanish Basketball Cup
22.02.26	Real Madrid - Baskonia	89:100 ✺
21.02.26	Valencia - Real Madrid	106:108 ✺
19.02.26	Real Madrid - Unicaja Malaga	100:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
05.10.25	Real Madrid - Gran Canaria 2014	81:71
02.03.25	Gran Canaria 2014 - Real Madrid	54:69
Spanish Basketball Cup
15.02.25	Gran Canaria 2014 - Real Madrid	63:80
Spanish ACB League
10.11.24	Real Madrid - Gran Canaria 2014	83:77
17.05.24	Gran Canaria 2014 - Real Madrid	71:73
15.05.24	Real Madrid - Gran Canaria 2014	105:70
28.01.24	Gran Canaria 2014 - Real Madrid	100:77

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