Match Info

Euroleague - Round 29

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Movistar Arena (Madrid)

Referee: Radojkovic J. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Israel	Sport 5
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Real Madrid		Bayern München

	1	2
	1.11	5.5	Watch
	1.14	5.75	Watch
	1.16	5.71
	1.14	5.74	Watch
	1.14	5
	1.16	5.8	Watch
	1.22	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.25)	5.32 ↑ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid
82.2%

Bayern München
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.8%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Madrid's performance.

Bayern München has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bayern München might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Real Madrid - Bayern München Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Real Madrid will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Bayern München will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Madrid: 29% – 96%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +10.5, OT - Bayern München (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 169.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern München (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Hezonja M.	11. Lucic V.
8. Okeke C.	1. Da Silva O.
22. Tavares E.	33. McCormack D.
6. Abalde A.	0. Dimitrijevic N.
7. Campazzo F.	4. Rathan-Mayes X.
Substitutes
14. Deck G.	17. Fischer K.
24. Feliz A.	32. Gabriel W.
16. Garuba U.	5. Giffey N.
25. Len A.	10. Jessup J.
23. Llull S.	16. Jovic S.
0. Lyles T.	22. Mike I.
12. Maledon T.	7. Voigtmann J.
Coaches
. Scariolo S.	. Pesic S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 3.

Real Madrid is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Bayern München has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Real Madrid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Real Madrid is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1742:1603. (average 87.1:80.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 839:730. (average 93.2:81.1).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Real Madrid: 8.19% Bayern: 1%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
15	Real Madrid	4	1	3	345:350
18	Bayern	4	1	3	333:364

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid basketball
Spanish Basketball Cup
22.02.26	Real Madrid - Baskonia	89:100 ✺
21.02.26	Valencia - Real Madrid	106:108 ✺
19.02.26	Real Madrid - Unicaja Malaga	100:70 ✺
Spanish ACB League
15.02.26	Unicaja Malaga - Real Madrid	92:96 ✺
Euroleague
13.02.26	Partizan Belgrade - Real Madrid	73:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWWW
- Bayern München Basketball
German Cup Basketball
21.02.26	Bayern München - Brose Bamberg	97:103 OT ✺
German BBL
17.02.26	Bayern München - Skyliners Frankfurt	85:76 ✺
15.02.26	Science City Jena - Bayern München	61:106 ✺
Euroleague
12.02.26	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Bayern München	111:106 OT ✺
German BBL
08.02.26	Heidelberg - Bayern München	63:106 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
28.10.25	Bayern München - Real Madrid	90:84
18.04.25	Real Madrid - Bayern München	93:71
03.01.25	Real Madrid - Bayern München	88:76
03.10.24	Bayern München - Real Madrid	97:89
09.01.24	Bayern München - Real Madrid	71:92
14.12.23	Real Madrid - Bayern München	88:73
06.04.23	Real Madrid - Bayern München	79:67

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