Match Info

Korisliiga - Winners stage - Round 26

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: IKH Areena (Kauhajoki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Kauhajoen Karhu		Helsinki Seagulls

	1	2
	1.86	1.83
	1.95	1.86
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.94	1.8
	1.8	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.98)	1.86 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kauhajoen Karhu
50.2%

Helsinki Seagulls
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kauhajoen Karhu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Helsinki Seagulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauhajoen Karhu than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helsinki Seagulls than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Kauhajoen Karhu - Helsinki Seagulls Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kauhajoen Karhu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Flatten S.	10. Heinonen O.
14. Kanden O. (C)	1. Henry J.
25. Koivunen K.	3. Ross K.
7. Luukkonen E.	4. Rougeau R. (C)
4. Nweke I.	47. Waxlax R.
Substitutes
8. Ahonen A.	0. Chukwuma C.
3. Boman H.	25. Hervola L.
35. Laavainen A.	16. Kaivos J.
	40. Kilpinen J.
	5. Leskinen E.
	2. Niemi T.
Coaches
. Koskimies J.	. Saukkola T.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kauhajoen Karhu won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kauhajoen Karhu won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1550:1642. (average 77.5:82.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kauhajoen Karhu won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 676:677. (average 75.1:75.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
5	Helsinki Seagulls	4	2	2	310:316	4
10	Karhu Basket	3	1	2	227:231	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kauhajoen Karhu
Finnish Korisliiga
07.02.26	Korihait - Kauhajoen Karhu	105:91 ✺
04.02.26	Kauhajoen Karhu - Salon Vilpas	73:98 ✺
30.01.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Kauhajoen Karhu	81:88 ✺
24.01.26	Kauhajoen Karhu - Helsinki Seagulls	79:74 ✺
21.01.26	Joensuun Kataja - Kauhajoen Karhu	76:62 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLWWL
- Helsinki Seagulls
Finnish Korisliiga
10.02.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Helsinki Seagulls	79:73 ✺
04.02.26	Helsinki Seagulls - Korihait	88:90 ✺
30.01.26	Helsinki Seagulls - Espoon Honka	98:82 ✺
24.01.26	Kauhajoen Karhu - Helsinki Seagulls	79:74 ✺
20.01.26	Helsinki Seagulls - Salon Vilpas	84:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Korisliiga
24.01.26	Kauhajoen Karhu - Helsinki Seagulls	79:74
21.11.25	Helsinki Seagulls - Kauhajoen Karhu	63:84
06.05.25	Kauhajoen Karhu - Helsinki Seagulls	56:68
03.05.25	Helsinki Seagulls - Kauhajoen Karhu	82:79
29.04.25	Kauhajoen Karhu - Helsinki Seagulls	80:89
26.04.25	Helsinki Seagulls - Kauhajoen Karhu	89:56
05.03.25	Kauhajoen Karhu - Helsinki Seagulls	90:71

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