Match Info

Lega A - Round 13

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday

Location: PalaBarbuto (Naples)

Referee: Miniati G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Italy	LBA TV
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4


	Napoli Basket		Cantù

	1	2
			Watch
	1.32	3.2	Watch
	1.36	3.04
	1.33	3.25
	1.41	3.02	Watch
	1.28	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.48)	3.18 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 174.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napoli Basket
70.4%

Cantù
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Napoli Basket's performance.

Cantù has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cantù might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli Basket than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Napoli Basket that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cantù than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cantù could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Napoli Basket - Cantù Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Bolton R.	11. Ballo O.
30. Caruso G.	12. Bortolani G.
1. Flagg S.	0. Gilyard J.
3. Mitrou-Long N.	9. Moraschini R.
25. Simms A.	20. Sneed X.
Substitutes
8. Croswell E.	33. Ajayi J.
5. El Amin I.	21. Basile G.
10. Faggian L.	10. De Nicolao A.
22. Gentile S.	32. Green E.
14. Gloria M.	90. Okeke L.
11. Saccoccia S.
18. Treier K.
Coaches
. Magro A.	. Brienza N.

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).

Recent performances by Napoli Basket have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cantù has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Napoli Basket may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Napoli Basket is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Napoli Basket
Italian Lega A Basketball
21.12.25	Venezia - Napoli Basket	106:96 ✺
14.12.25	Napoli Basket - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	102:76 ✺
07.12.25	Udine - Napoli Basket	78:71 ✺
23.11.25	Napoli Basket - Dinamo Sassari	86:75 ✺
16.11.25	Napoli Basket - Basket Brescia	72:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWL
- Pallacanestro Cantu
Italian Lega A Basketball
20.12.25	Cantù - Olimpia Milano	89:94 ✺
14.12.25	Treviso Basket - Cantù	86:81 ✺
07.12.25	Venezia - Cantù	101:95 ✺
23.11.25	Cantù - Virtus Bologna	77:89 ✺
16.11.25	Varese - Cantù	91:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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