Match Info
NBL - Round 16Date: 9 January 2026, FridayLocation: Spark Arena (Auckland)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports |
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New Zealand Breakers |
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Sydney Kings |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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Watch |
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2 |
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1.73 |
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2 |
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1.74 |
Watch |
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2 |
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1.73 |
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2.2 |
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1.71 |
Watch |
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2.05 |
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1.8 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.05 ↑ (1.92) |
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1.74 (1.74) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 184.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
New Zealand Breakers 45.9% | Sydney Kings 54.1% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:New Zealand Breakers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Sydney Kings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Zealand Breakers than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney Kings than the current prediction. (-2.6%)New Zealand Breakers - Sydney Kings Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. NZ Breakers will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Sydney will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. NZ Breakers (votes: 3 - 60%). Sydney (votes: 2 - 40%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 179.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:93 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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9. Baker R.
| 1. Davis K.
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8. Brockington I.
| 8. Dellavedova M. (C)
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6. Jackson-Cartwright P. (C)
| 15. Maluach M.
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1. Lopez K.
| 3. Robertson T.
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3. Mennenga S.
| 11. Soares T.
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| Substitutes |
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20. Andrew J.
| 21. Awan L.
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2. Bairstow S.
| 7. Bruce S.
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5. Britt T.
| 6. Galloway J.
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34. Cooper T.
| 5. Goodrick H.
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21. Davison C.
| 20. Malual G.
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15. Loe R.
| 12. Noi K.
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7. Te Rangi R.
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90. Webster T.
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Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NZ Breakers won 1.NZ Breakers is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Sydney's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).NZ Breakers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, NZ Breakers has had a series of away games.Recently, Sydney has had a series of home games. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NZ Breakers won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1664:1768. (average 83.2:88.4).Including home matches between the teams, NZ Breakers won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 776:802. (average 86.2:89.1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | L | | PCT |
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| 2 | Sydney | 7 | 5 | 2 | 714:617 | 0.714 |
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| 4 | New Zealand Breakers | 8 | 4 | 4 | 737:712 | 0.500 |
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Outrights of Australian NBL for now
New Zealand Breakers: 4.11%
Last Results with these Odds
Sydney Kings - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 52.46%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NBL | | | 03.12.25 | New Zealand Breakers - Sydney Kings | 95:90 | | 09.11.25 | Sydney Kings - New Zealand Breakers | 79:72 | | 04.10.25 | Sydney Kings - New Zealand Breakers | 97:75 | | 20.12.24 | New Zealand Breakers - Sydney Kings | 84:92 | | 07.12.24 | New Zealand Breakers - Sydney Kings | 83:98 | | 26.10.24 | Sydney Kings - New Zealand Breakers | 89:93 | | Club Friendly Basketball | | | 13.09.24 | Sydney Kings - New Zealand Breakers | 90:79 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;