Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - WINNERS STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 5 March 2024, Tuesday

Location: Dimitris Tofalos Arena (Patras)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Portugal	Sport TV3


	Promitheas Patras		UCAM Murcia

	1	2
	2.3	1.56	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.14	1.64	Watch
	2.25	1.67
	2.26	1.68
	2.1	1.67
	2.22	1.65	Watch
	2.21	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2)	1.63 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Promitheas Patras
42.5%

UCAM Murcia
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Promitheas Patras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Promitheas Patras than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Promitheas Patras - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Promitheas will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Murcia will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Promitheas: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:81

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Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Promitheas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 81-90.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASP Promitheas Patras
Greek Basket League A1
02.03.24	Promitheas Patras - Aris	70:57 ✺
Greek Cup Basketball
17.02.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - Promitheas Patras	91:77 ✺
16.02.24	Promitheas Patras - Panionios	88:48 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
10.02.24	Apollon Patras - Promitheas Patras	56:84 ✺
Champions League Basketball
06.02.24	Hapoel Holon - Promitheas Patras	65:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWW
- UCAM Murcia
Spanish ACB League
02.03.24	Basquet Manresa - UCAM Murcia	83:88 ✺
Spanish Basketball Cup
15.02.24	Real Madrid - UCAM Murcia	84:79 ✺
Spanish ACB League
11.02.24	UCAM Murcia - Granada	91:78 ✺
Champions League Basketball
06.02.24	AEK Athens - UCAM Murcia	79:84 ✺
Spanish ACB League
03.02.24	UCAM Murcia - Bilbao Basket	96:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Basketball
30.01.24	UCAM Murcia - Promitheas Patras	90:81

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