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Current Win Probability
South East Melbourne Phoenix 45.8%
Melbourne United 54.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.8%
59.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.5%
57.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
South East Melbourne Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
Melbourne United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for South East Melbourne Phoenix than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne United than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
South East Melbourne Phoenix - Melbourne United Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. South East Melbourne (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 199.5, OT - over (2.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -6.5, OT - South East Melbourne (3.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. South East Melbourne (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 95:97
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hunter J.
3. Anthony C.
13. Krebs T.
9. Machar M.
9. Mays S.
2. Oduro J.
99. Schwartz D.
23. Travers L.
20. Sobey N. (C)
21. Waardenburg S.
Substitutes
7. Aliir A.
15. Bowen K. (C)
8. Biggar E.
51. Ili S.
4. Daniels D.
7. Ingles J.
3. Davidson S.
18. Krslovic F.
5. Glover A.
5. Shelley A.
12. Morin Y.
12. Wilson T.
2. Ryan P.
Coaches
. King J.
. Chance J.
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 7th and 6th in the Promotion - NBL Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South East Melbourne won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Melbourne may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Melbourne is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, South East Melbourne has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1704:1841 (averaging 85.2:92.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for South East Melbourne against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 947:984 goals (averaging 86.1:89.5 per game).
Outrights of Australian NBL for now
Melbourne United: 24.79% South East Melbourne: 8.57%
Standings
Pl
W
L
PCT
5
Melbourne United
6
3
3
558:539
0.500
8
South East Melbourne
6
2
4
552:553
0.333
Last Results with these Odds
Melbourne United - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 59.16%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.