Match Info
Euroleague - Round 32Date: 20 March 2026, FridayLocation: Zalgirio Arena (Kaunas)Referee: Koljensic M. (Mne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Žalgiris Kaunas |
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Real Madrid |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 170.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Žalgiris Kaunas
48.1% | Real Madrid
51.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Žalgiris Kaunas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris Kaunas than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-1.7%)Žalgiris Kaunas - Real Madrid Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 172.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Žalgiris Kaunas will win
(23 of 29 users predict this - 79.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.57% – 94.05%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Žalgiris Kaunas will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:86 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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51.  Butkevicius A.
| 6.  Abalde A.
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3.  Francisco S.
| 7.  Campazzo F.
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10. Tubelis A.
| 11.  Hezonja M.
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1.  Williams-Goss N.
| 8. Okeke C.
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7.  Wright M.
| 22.  Tavares E.
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| Substitutes |
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15. Birutis L.
| 14. Deck G.
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8. Brazdeikis I.
| 24.  Feliz A.
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9. Giedraitis D.
| 16. Garuba U.
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17. Rubstavicius M.
| 25.  Len A.
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91. Sirvydis D.
| 23. Llull S.
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14. Sleva D.
| 0.  Lyles T.
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92. Ulanovas E.
| 12. Maledon T.
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| Coaches |
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. Masiulis T.
| .  Scariolo S.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 1.Recent performances by Žalgiris have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).Real Madrid is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).Recently, Real Madrid has had a series of home games. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match. We predict that Real Madrid will win today's game, with odds of 1.83.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1562:1667. (average 78.1:83.4).Including home matches between the teams, Žalgiris won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 655:683. (average 72.8:75.9).
Outrights of Euroleague for now
Real Madrid: 8.19% Zalgiris Kaunas: 3.75%
Standings
| | Pl | W | L | |
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| 8 | Zalgiris Kaunas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 340:333 |
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| 14 | Real Madrid | 4 | 1 | 3 | 345:350 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Euroleague | | | 20.11.25 | Real Madrid - Žalgiris Kaunas | 100:99 | | 10.01.25 | Žalgiris Kaunas - Real Madrid | 64:83 | | 12.12.24 | Real Madrid - Žalgiris Kaunas | 83:92 | | 11.04.24 | Žalgiris Kaunas - Real Madrid | 62:64 | | 17.10.23 | Real Madrid - Žalgiris Kaunas | 93:79 | | 23.02.23 | Real Madrid - Žalgiris Kaunas | 96:69 | | 15.12.22 | Žalgiris Kaunas - Real Madrid | 81:72 |
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