Match Info

Super Smash

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Super Smash 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	14:25	Fox Sports Cricket
United Kingdom	03:25	TNT Sports 1


	Northern Brave		Wellington Firebirds

	1	2
	2	1.8
	2.05	1.75	Watch
	1.86	1.86
	2.05	1.75
			Watch
	2	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.88)	1.77 ↓ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northern Brave
47.1%

Wellington Firebirds
52.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northern Brave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Wellington Firebirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northern Brave than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Firebirds than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Northern Brave - Wellington Firebirds Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Northern Brave will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northern Brave won 1.

Northern Brave has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Wellington is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Northern Brave may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Northern Brave has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Northern Brave will win today's game, with odds of 1.88.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Northern Brave won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 5103:5086. (average 255.2:254.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Northern Brave won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3064:2888. (average 278.5:262.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Northern Brave - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northern Brave
Super Smash
25.12.25	Northern Brave - Auckland Aces	Abandoned ✺
Plunket Shield
12.12.25	Northern Brave - Wellington Firebirds	571:319 ✺
04.12.25	Northern Brave - Otago Volts	346:289 ✺
25.11.25	Northern Brave - Auckland Aces	152:307 ✺
17.11.25	Canterbury Kings - Northern Brave	248:237 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 ?WWLL
- Wellington Firebirds
Super Smash
28.12.25	Wellington Firebirds - Auckland Aces	187:189 ✺
26.12.25	Central Stags - Wellington Firebirds	188:142 ✺
Plunket Shield
12.12.25	Northern Brave - Wellington Firebirds	571:319 ✺
04.12.25	Auckland Aces - Wellington Firebirds	350:249 ✺
25.11.25	Wellington Firebirds - Central Stags	354:118 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Plunket Shield
12.12.25	Northern Brave - Wellington Firebirds	571:319
Ford Trophy
02.11.25	Northern Brave - Wellington Firebirds	233:234
Plunket Shield
20.03.25	Wellington Firebirds - Northern Brave	189:119
Ford Trophy
05.02.25	Wellington Firebirds - Northern Brave	201:200
Super Smash
29.01.25	Wellington Firebirds - Northern Brave	Abandoned
31.12.24	Northern Brave - Wellington Firebirds	166:160
Ford Trophy
29.10.24	Northern Brave - Wellington Firebirds	199:248

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