Match Info

World Grand Prix - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Mattioli Arena (Leicester)


	Gary Anderson		Damon Heta

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.45	2.64	Watch
	1.48	2.55
	1.44	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.49)	2.69 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gary Anderson
65%

Damon Heta
35%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.1%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gary Anderson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Damon Heta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gary Anderson than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damon Heta than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Gary Anderson - Damon Heta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Format: Double in, Double out.

Anderson is ranked World Ranking: 10., and Heta is ranked World Ranking: 22..

Anderson is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Heta have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Anderson could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Anderson is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Anderson has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:20 (averaging 7.3:6.7 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gary Anderson
Darts
05.09.26	Gary Anderson - Cameron Menzies	3:6 ✺
30.08.26	Gary Anderson - Nathan Aspinall	7:6 ✺
30.08.26	Gian Van Veen - Gary Anderson	5:6 ✺
30.08.26	Stephen Bunting - Gary Anderson	5:6 ✺
29.08.26	Gary Anderson - Krzysztof Ratajski	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWWW
- Damon Heta
Darts
18.09.26	James Wade - Damon Heta	6:5 ✺
13.09.26	James Wade - Damon Heta	7:4 ✺
13.09.26	Damon Heta - Nathan Aspinall	6:5 ✺
13.09.26	Damon Heta - Luke Woodhouse	6:3 ✺
12.09.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Damon Heta	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
10.08.19	Damon Heta - Gary Anderson	8:6 best of 15 legs
17.08.18	Gary Anderson - Damon Heta	6:5 best of 11 legs
11.08.18	Gary Anderson - Damon Heta	10:7 best of 19 legs

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damon Heta
Darts
18.10.26	Damon Heta - Martin Schindler	✺

Gary Anderson - Damon Heta: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide