Match Info

European Tour 12 - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: MVM Dome (Budapest)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay Sport 1
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Net4+
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Niko Springer		Luke Humphries

	1	2
	3.2	1.36
			Watch
	3.27	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (3.24)	1.35 (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niko Springer
29.4%

Luke Humphries
70.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

63.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Niko Springer have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Luke Humphries have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niko Springer than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Niko Springer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luke Humphries than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luke Humphries, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Niko Springer - Luke Humphries Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:6

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Preview

Springer is ranked World Ranking: 70. Humphries is ranked World Ranking: 1.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Humphries may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Humphries is a strong favorite.

We predict that Humphries will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Luke Humphries - the odds 1.35 are the expected chance of winning is 70.56%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niko Springer
Darts
21.09.25	Robert Cross - Niko Springer	3:6 ✺
20.09.25	Damon Heta - Niko Springer	1:6 ✺
19.09.25	Gian Van Veen - Niko Springer	3:6 ✺
09.09.25	Steve Lennon - Niko Springer	4:6 ✺
06.09.25	Gerwyn Price - Niko Springer	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWWWL
- Luke Humphries
Darts
21.09.25	Luke Humphries - Mike De Decker	6:1 ✺
20.09.25	Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall	6:4 ✺
14.09.25	Luke Humphries - Michael Van Gerwen	5:10 ✺
13.09.25	Luke Humphries - Kevin Doets	6:4 ✺
12.09.25	Luke Humphries - James Wade	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLWW

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