Match Info

Liiga

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Isomäki Areena (Pori)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Ässät		Jokerit

	1	X	2
	2.05	4.25	2.75
	2.15	4.00	2.75
	2.20	3.90	2.80	Watch
	2.25	3.75	2.77
	2.25	3.94	2.74	Watch
	2.20	3.70	2.70
	2.23	4.15	2.68	Watch
	2.21	3.90	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.25)	3.95 (3.95)	2.74 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ässät
42.4%

Draw
23.6%

Jokerit
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

24%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

24.6%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ässät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Jokerit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jokerit than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Ässät - Jokerit Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ässät will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ässät (votes: 1 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Assat (1.80) (votes: 87%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Bednar J. (G)	31. Eriksson Ek O. (G)
79. Nikkila P. (A)	4. Caito M.
61. Jurgens C.	53. Elorinne A. (A)
48. Klingberg C. (A)	21. Kalapudas A.
10. Hillis C.	28. Nikkanen H.
34. Doucet A.	25. Kuusla E.
Line 2
37. Maatta R. (C)	43. Krogdahl M.
3. Anttalainen A.	52. Tuomola R.
47. Pinard S.	7. Fortier M.
36. Bjorkqvist K.	22. Forslund A.
63. Kostilainen S.	71. Curry P. (A)
Line 3
55. Riihinen P.	12. Tumanovs M.
80. Nurmi P.	55. Pulli V.
8. Olofsson J.	77. Turunen T.
14. Sebok B.	92. Mustonen A.
92. Alasiurua A.	26. Pitkanen K.
Line 4
7. Pulli J.	47. Forsblom S.
26. Kim A.	82. Tuulola E.
72. Ojantakanen K.	19. Nalli M.
18. Ylitalo O.	33. Hannikainen M. (C)
Substitutes
33. Taponen R. (G)	74. Henriksson J.
	30. Vehvilainen V. (G)
Coaches
. Pikkarainen J.	. Valtonen T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
02:23, Tumanovs M. (2 min),
04:20, 1 - 0, Kim A. (G), Sebok B. (A), Maatta R. (A2)
10:34, 1 - 1, Kalapudas A. (G), Caito M. (A),
14:42, Pinard S. (2 min),
17:43, 2 - 1, Alasiurua A. (G), Jurgens C. (A), Nikkila P. (A2)
19:07, Riihinen P. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
05:36, Ylitalo O. (2 min),
07:14, 2 - 2, Nikkanen H. (G), Turunen T. (A), Fortier M. (A2)
09:38, Pulli V. (2 min),
15:41, Caito M. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
17:16, Nikkanen H. (2 min),
18:15, 3 - 2, Hillis C. (G), Klingberg C. (A), Pinard S. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Jokerit may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Ässät will win today's game, with odds of 2.28.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 38:37. (average 2.4:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ässät won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 2.1:2.2).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Jokerit: 3.58%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Assat	12	6	1	2	3	30:27	22
16	Jokerit	12	2	1	2	7	25:39	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ässät hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
04.09.26	Ässät - Ilves	5:1 ✺
01.09.26	Kärpät - Ässät	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.26	Ässät - Vaasan Sport	2:1 ✺
21.08.26	Ässät - Lukko	8:3 ✺
20.08.26	HPK - Ässät	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWWL
- Jokerit hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
05.09.26	Lukko - Jokerit	7:2 ✺
01.09.26	Vaasan Sport - Jokerit	5:4 penalties ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
25.08.26	TPS - Jokerit	4:2 ✺
19.08.26	Jokerit - Tappara	4:3 penalties ✺
15.08.26	Jokerit - SaiPa	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Pitsiturnaus
01.08.25	Ässät - Jokerit	1:1
04.08.23	Ässät - Jokerit	4:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
25.08.21	Ässät - Jokerit	1:2
21.08.20	Jokerit - Ässät	4:3 penalties
Finnish SM-liiga
11.03.14	Ässät - Jokerit	2:7
11.02.14	Jokerit - Ässät	2:4
08.01.14	Ässät - Jokerit	5:4 penalties

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