The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jokerit 36%
Draw 24%
Ilves 40%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.6%
24.6%
40.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.4%
27.3%
36.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jokerit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jokerit than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Jokerit - Ilves Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 1st in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jokerit won 3.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Ilves may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Ilves has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Jokerit has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:15 (averaging 1.9:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Jokerit against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 5:9 goals (averaging 1:1.8 per game).
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Jokerit: 3.58%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
Ilves
11
7
1
0
3
33:24
23
16
Jokerit
12
2
1
2
7
25:39
10
Last Results with these Odds
Ilves - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.81%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Finland
Sweden
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