Match Info

VHL

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets (Tula)


	AKM		Zvezda Moscow

	1	X	2
	2.93	3.54	2.23
	2.83	3.84	2.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (2.9)	3.69 (3.69)	2.21 (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AKM
32.4%

Draw
25.3%

Zvezda Moscow
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

25.4%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

26.9%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AKM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Zvezda Moscow have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AKM than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

AKM - Zvezda Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
97. Skovronsky A. (G)	31. Novozhilov I. (G)
71. Zaitsev D. (A)	80. Barabosha A.
25. Puchkov Y. (C)	48. Barantsev D. (A)
94. Mitrofanov A. (A)	56. Vlasenko D.
79. Shulenin G.	25. Lazutin D.
10. Nazarov M.	42. Savvateyev V.
Line 2
38. Bulygin D.	49. Bryutov Y.
80. Strugov Y.	6. Gordeyev M.
21. Makarov R.	62. Shalyshkin N.
70. Dyukarev V.	19. Prokhorov A. (C)
29. Kaburov G.	23. Khulapov D.
Line 3
98. Novikov N.	44. Stanislavskiy D.
24. Alishlalov M.	8. Bobryashov N.
28. Tsybin M.	87. Yapparov Y.
77. Sharifyanov T.	98. Pankratov S. (A)
12. Rybakov V.	84. Lagoda G.
Line 4
67. Ivanov G.	94. Lypkan M.
36. Shumilin Y.	70. Yanchenko I.
13. Bryntsev M.	75. Averochkin M.
86. Ignatov S.	79. Dronyk V.
Substitutes
91. Pastukh V. (G)	41. Petukhov M. (G)
	95. Vasin M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
08:06, 1 - 0, Sharifyanov T. (G), Rybakov V. (A), Ivanov G. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
06:55, 2 - 0, Tsybin M. (G), Sharifyanov T. (A), Rybakov V. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
17:28, 3 - 0, Dyukarev V. (G),
19:13, 3 - 1, Lazutin D. (G), Savvateyev V. (A), Bryutov Y. (A2)
20', 4 - 1, (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AKM won 4.

AKM has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Zvezda Moscow has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Zvezda Moscow may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Zvezda Moscow has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, AKM won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:17. (average 3.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, AKM won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:7. (average 5:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	AKM	12	7	0	3	2	38:29	17
26	Zvezda Moscow	12	2	2	1	7	26:37	9

Last Results with these Odds

Zvezda Moscow - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.33%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AKM Tula
VHL
10.03.26	AKM - Khimik	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	AKM - Torpedo-Gorky	2:3 penalties ✺
02.03.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - AKM	4:2 ✺
28.02.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - AKM	4:3 OT ✺
26.02.26	Chelmet - AKM	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Zvezda Moscow
VHL
07.03.26	Zvezda Moscow - Chelny	2:3 OT ✺
05.03.26	Zvezda Moscow - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:4 ✺
03.03.26	Zvezda Moscow - CSK VVS Samara	5:0 ✺
01.03.26	Zvezda Moscow - Bars Kazan	4:3 OT ✺
22.02.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Zvezda Moscow	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
03.09.25	Zvezda Moscow - AKM	1:2
14.12.24	AKM - Zvezda Moscow	6:3
02.12.24	Zvezda Moscow - AKM	2:1 OT
01.12.23	Zvezda Moscow - AKM	0:2
10.11.23	AKM - Zvezda Moscow	6:1
22.11.22	AKM - Zvezda Moscow	5:3
18.09.22	Zvezda Moscow - AKM	4:1

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