Match Info

KHL

Date: 4 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Fetisov Arena (Vladivostok)


	Admiral Vladivostok		SKA Saint Petersburg

	1	X	2
	2.69	3.59	2.29
	2.87	4.4	2.2	Watch
	2.7	4.25	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.67)	4.08 ↓ (4.31)	2.23 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Admiral Vladivostok
34.4%

Draw
23.2%

SKA Saint Petersburg
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

22.5%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

22.3%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Admiral Vladivostok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

SKA Saint Petersburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Admiral Vladivostok than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA Saint Petersburg than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Admiral Vladivostok - SKA Saint Petersburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Admiral will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). SKA will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Admiral (votes: 2 - 50%). SKA (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Admiral (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Admiral (votes: 3 - 60%). SKA (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Shugayev D. (G)	73. Pleshkov A. (G)
19. Shepelev A.	47. Zelenov Y.
73. Sulak L. (A)	3. Pedan A.
15. Petukhov Y.	87. Goldobin N.
89. Geraskin I.	17. Loktionov A.
90. Soshnikov N. (A)	16. Plotnikov S. (C)
Line 2
57. Ruchkin S.	34. Savikov Y.
77. Grman M.	8. Murphy T.
18. Starkov S.	23. Grimaldi R.
25. Olson K.	10. Blandisi J.
17. Zavgorodny D.	81. Leipsic B.
Line 3
7. Deryabin D.	18. Phillips M.
2. Koledov P. (C)	9. Sapego S.
38. Tertyshny N.	61. Khairullin M. (A)
16. Shen P.	38. Gurzanov Y.
78. Gutik D.	90. Zykov V. (A)
Line 4
23. Kudashov A.	79. Galenyuk D.
88. Timashov D.	41. Polyakov M.
74. Osnovin V.	68. Nedopyokin N.
26. Bryukvin V.	55. Dishkovsky N.
Substitutes
35. Huska A. (G)	1. Ivanov S. (G)
Coaches
. Tambijevs L.	. Larionov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
02:10, Goldobin N. (2 min),
11:58, Blandisi J. (2 min),
19:27, 0 - 1, Leipsic B. (G), Plotnikov S. (A), Blandisi J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
07:36, Grimaldi R. (2 min),
09:29, 1 - 1, Olson K. (G), Soshnikov N. (A), Zavgorodny D. (A2)
11:14, Shepelev A. (Penalty Shot),
17:56, Starkov S. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
03:14, Geraskin I. (2 min),
06:12, 1 - 2, Goldobin N. (G),
08:18, Leipsic B. (2 min),
11:13, Plotnikov S. (2 min),
12:49, Blandisi J. (2 min),
19:33, 1 - 3, Pedan A. (G),

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Admiral won 2.

Admiral is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

SKA is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Admiral may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, SKA has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that SKA will win today's game, with odds of 2.36.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Admiral won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 32:85. (average 1.6:4.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Admiral won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:27. (average 1.3:3).

Last Results with these Odds

Admiral Vladivostok - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 36.35%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Admiral Vladivostok
KHL
02.12.25	Admiral Vladivostok - Sochi	2:4 ✺
30.11.25	Admiral Vladivostok - Dinamo Minsk	1:4 ✺
26.11.25	Admiral Vladivostok - Amur Khabarovsk	4:1 ✺
22.11.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Admiral Vladivostok	4:3 penalties ✺
20.11.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Admiral Vladivostok	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLL
- SKA Saint Petersburg
KHL
02.12.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - SKA Saint Petersburg	3:4 OT ✺
28.11.25	Ak Bars Kazan - SKA Saint Petersburg	5:2 ✺
26.11.25	Severstal Cherepovets - SKA Saint Petersburg	4:6 ✺
24.11.25	HC CSKA Moscow - SKA Saint Petersburg	1:4 ✺
16.11.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
21.12.24	SKA Saint Petersburg - Admiral Vladivostok	3:2 OT
28.11.24	Admiral Vladivostok - SKA Saint Petersburg	3:2 penalties
16.10.23	SKA Saint Petersburg - Admiral Vladivostok	5:0
25.09.23	Admiral Vladivostok - SKA Saint Petersburg	1:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
03.08.23	SKA Saint Petersburg - Admiral Vladivostok	2:3 OT
KHL
08.11.22	Admiral Vladivostok - SKA Saint Petersburg	3:1
28.09.22	SKA Saint Petersburg - Admiral Vladivostok	6:1

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