The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 55.6%
Draw 22.1%
SKA Saint Petersburg 22.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.2%
20.2%
19.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.6%
22%
18%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
SKA Saint Petersburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl than the current prediction. (+10%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA Saint Petersburg than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
36.4%
63.6%
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - SKA Saint Petersburg Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. SKA will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for SKA: 35.2% – 92%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): SKA Saint Petersburg will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
92. Isayev D. (G)
73. Pleshkov A. (G)
4. Yelesin A. (C)
47. Zelenov Y.
5. Bereglazov A.
3. Pedan A. (C)
72. Beryozkin M.
87. Goldobin N.
10. Ivanov G.
17. Loktionov A.
47. Radulov A. (A)
16. Plotnikov S. (A)
Line 2
73. Cherepanov N.
34. Savikov Y.
28. Gernat M.
8. Murphy T.
70. Surin Y.
23. Grimaldi R.
78. Shalunov M.
10. Blandisi J.
16. Kayumov A.
81. Leipsic B.
Line 3
93. Misyul D.
18. Phillips M.
87. Rafikov R. (A)
9. Sapego S.
7. Kiryanov N.
61. Khairullin M. (A)
51. Froese B.
38. Gurzanov Y.
97. Volkov A.
90. Zykov V.
Line 4
49. Ulyev M.
79. Galenyuk D.
13. Nikulin S.
41. Polyakov M.
63. Kraskovsky P.
68. Nedopyokin N.
90. Polunin A.
55. Dishkovsky N.
Substitutes
27. Kuzin A.
1. Ivanov S. (G)
38. Melnichuk A. (G)
Coaches
. Hartley B.
. Larionov I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
06:15, 1 - 0, Cherepanov N. (G), Ulyev M. (A), Ivanov G. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
01:49, 1 - 1, Leipsic B. (G), Murphy T. (A), Blandisi J. (A2)
03:19, Ivanov G. (2 min),
10:37, Zelenov Y. (2 min),
12:35, 2 - 1, Radulov A. (G), Surin Y. (A), Rafikov R. (A2)
13:58, Beryozkin M. (2 min),
15:32, 2 - 2, Plotnikov S. (G), Khairullin M. (A), Savikov Y. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
08:06, 3 - 2, Shalunov M. (G), Kayumov A. (A), Beryozkin M. (A2)
18:01, 3 - 3, Pedan A. (G), Grimaldi R. (A), Blandisi J. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
01:48, (2 min),
03:02, 3 - 4, Khairullin M. (G), Plotnikov S. (A), Zykov V. (A2)
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 4.
Lokomotiv has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, SKA has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
SKA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, SKA has had a series of away games.
In this match, Lokomotiv is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 49:41. (average 2.5:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:19. (average 2.6:1.9).
Watch
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Isayev D. (G) 
Gernat M. 
Murphy T. 
Grimaldi R. 
Sapego S. 
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