Match Info

KHL

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Tatneft Arena (Kazan)


	Ak Bars Kazan		Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg

	1	X	2
	2.15	4.39	2.96	Watch
	2.15	4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.95)	4.2 ↓ (4.4)	2.93 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ak Bars Kazan
44.5%

Draw
22.8%

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

22%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

22.2%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ak Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ak Bars Kazan's form might have worsened.

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ak Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Ak Bars Kazan - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ak Bars will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Avtomobilist will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ak Bars (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Ak Bars (2.20) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ak Bars (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
82. Bilyalov T. (G)	1. Galkin V. (G)
58. Miller M.	9. Blacker J.
7. Falkovsky S.	88. Tryamkin N. (C)
72. Alistrov V.	16. Boucher R.
94. Semyonov K. (A)	77. Da Costa S.
55. Chmelevski A.	86. Sharov A.
Line 2
53. Marchenko A. (C)	2. Zborovsky S.
89. Karpukhin I.	7. Busygin Y.
95. Galimov A.	17. Macek B.
24. Safonov I.	14. Valk C.
17. Barabanov A.	97. Kizimov S.
Line 3
28. Terekhov S.	69. Pautov Y.
65. Luchevnikov K.	55. Vorobyov K. (A)
10. Biro B.	15. Golyshev A.
11. Fisenko M. (A)	28. Byvaltsev A. (A)
14. Denisenko G.	31. Khripunov S.
Line 4
75. Ivanov A.	91. Malorosiyanov D.
15. Brovkin A.	24. Denezhkin M.
92. Katelevsky D.	92. Gorbunov R.
86. Dynyak N.	99. Shashkov N.
Substitutes
20. Arefyev M. (G)	18. Alikin Y. (G)
18. Potapov Y.	79. Tarasov M.
Coaches
. Gatiyatulin A.	. Zavarukhin N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
11:02, Biro B. (2 min),
15:28, 1 - 0, Galimov A. (G), Miller M. (A), Barabanov A. (A2)
16:16, Denisenko G. (Penalty Shot),
16:57, 2 - 0, Chmelevski A. (G), Brovkin A. (A), Katelevsky D. (A2)
19:40, Fisenko M. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
06:52, 3 - 0, Barabanov A. (G), Galimov A. (A), Safonov I. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
04:12, 4 - 0, Denisenko G. (G), Terekhov S. (A), Luchevnikov K. (A2)
04:41, 5 - 0, Fisenko M. (G), Denisenko G. (A), Luchevnikov K. (A2)
09:35, Da Costa S. (2 min),
18:41, Falkovsky S. (2 min),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ak Bars won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Avtomobilist may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ak Bars is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ak Bars won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 54:48. (average 2.7:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ak Bars won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 2.7:2.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Ak Bars Kazan - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 49.71%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - the odds 3.43 are the expected chance of winning is 28.26%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ak Bars Kazan
KHL
30.12.25	Ak Bars Kazan - Severstal Cherepovets	4:3 penalties ✺
27.12.25	Ak Bars Kazan - Traktor Chelyabinsk	3:2 ✺
20.12.25	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Ak Bars Kazan	1:2 ✺
18.12.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Ak Bars Kazan	3:2 ✺
16.12.25	Ak Bars Kazan - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWLW
- Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
KHL
30.12.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Lada Togliatti	4:3 ✺
25.12.25	Barys Astana - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	1:4 ✺
23.12.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	0:5 ✺
21.12.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Admiral Vladivostok	3:2 ✺
18.12.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Dinamo Minsk	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
29.09.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Ak Bars Kazan	4:1
10.09.25	Ak Bars Kazan - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	3:6
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
26.08.25	Ak Bars Kazan - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	1:6
KHL
07.04.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Ak Bars Kazan	1:2 OT
05.04.25	Ak Bars Kazan - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	5:1
03.04.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Ak Bars Kazan	2:0
01.04.25	Ak Bars Kazan - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	7:2

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