The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ak Bars Kazan 43%
Draw 23%
HC CSKA Moscow 33.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.3%
22.6%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.3%
22.6%
34.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ak Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
HC CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ak Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for HC CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
12.5%
0%
Ak Bars Kazan - HC CSKA Moscow Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Ak Bars will win (votes: 14 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ak Bars: 71.3% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ak Bars Kazan will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
82. Bilyalov T. (G)
33. Gamzin D. (G)
58. Miller M.
55. Okhotyuk N.
96. Lyamkin N.
89. Nesterov N. (A)
23. Jaskin D.
91. Sprong D.
94. Semyonov K. (A)
15. Karnaukhov P. (C)
17. Barabanov A.
51. Kovalenko N.
Line 2
53. Marchenko A. (C)
79. Roy J.
89. Karpukhin I.
28. Patrikhayev I.
14. Denisenko G.
72. Buchelnikov D.
55. Chmelevski A.
16. Zernov D.
72. Alistrov V.
34. Gurianov D.
Line 3
65. Luchevnikov K.
88. Yeryomenko V.
7. Falkovsky S.
45. Provolnev V.
95. Galimov A.
13. Poltapov P.
24. Safonov I.
27. Sorkin M. (A)
13. Zamaltdinov R.
11. Abramov V.
Line 4
28. Terekhov S.
76. Shuravin M.
92. Katelevsky D.
63. Mingachyov T.
11. Fisenko M. (A)
23. Gardner R.
15. Brovkin A.
26. Dolzhenkov K.
Substitutes
20. Arefyev M. (G)
97. Churkin A.
32. Samonov A. (G)
Coaches
. Gatiyatulin A.
. Nikitin I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
03:46, Provolnev V. (2 min),
03:49, Semyonov K. (2 min),
11:25, Galimov A. (2 min),
17:10, Roy J. (2 min),
17:14, Gardner R. (5 min),
18:53, 1 - 0, Safonov I. (G), Alistrov V. (A), Lyamkin N. (A2)
19:38, 1 - 1, Sorkin M. (G), Abramov V. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
10:09, Fisenko M. (2 min),
12:01, 1 - 2, Buchelnikov D. (G), Yeryomenko V. (A),
12:56, Okhotyuk N. (2 min),
16:31, 1 - 3, Karnaukhov P. (G), Kovalenko N. (A), Sprong D. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
01:10, Denisenko G. (2 min),
05:01, Terekhov S. (2 min),
05:15, 1 - 4, Dolzhenkov K. (G), Kovalenko N. (A), Nesterov N. (A2)
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ak Bars won 4.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ak Bars won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 45:40. (average 2.3:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Ak Bars won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 1.7:2.3).
Last Results with these Odds
HC CSKA Moscow - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 34.11%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.