The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barrie Colts 27%
Draw 20.9%
North Bay Battalion 52.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
29.1%
21.3%
49.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.7%
22.5%
46.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barrie Colts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
North Bay Battalion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrie Colts than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Bay Battalion than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for North Bay Battalion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Barrie Colts - North Bay Battalion Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Bach H. (G)
32. Vreugdenhil C. (G)
2. Desiderio N.
13. Barch H.
37. Edgar E. (A)
11. Carey R.
98. Figliomeni A.
3. Daigneault J.
91. Gauvreau L.
18. Dubrovtsev Y.
24. Lombardi B.
27. Edwards L.
85. Lowe C. (A)
4. Enright A. (A)
22. Matheson L.
21. Hodgson K.
74. McNally D.
8. Karmanov A.
8. Mogull S.
6. Konobelj O.
72. Mowrey A.
15. Kunopaski C.
88. Passmore E. (C)
19. Laird N. (C)
6. Ruggere M.
9. Lovell G.
11. Schneid W.
24. Moses S.
34. Shirochenkov M.
22. Pereira J.
19. Tang M.
20. Pronin A.
81. Testa L.
17. van Bommel R. (A)
89. Tsherna D.
16. Vaughan P. (A)
21. Yurkiw R.
14. Warren C.
Substitutes
70. Nikonovich M. (G)
34. McIvor M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
11:44, 0 - 1, Pronin A. (G),
16:41, 1 - 1, Edgar E. (G), Schneid W. (A), Testa L. (A2)
17:19, 2 - 1, Mogull S. (G), Tsherna D. (A), McNally D. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 3)
02:48, 2 - 2, Carey R. (G), Laird N. (A), Konobelj O. (A2)
05:14, 2 - 3, Pereira J. (G), Pronin A. (A), Karmanov A. (A2)
07:11, 2 - 4, Dubrovtsev Y. (G), Vaughan P. (A),
15:09, 3 - 4, Lombardi B. (G), Figliomeni A. (A), Tsherna D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
02:48, 3 - 5, Vaughan P. (G), Kunopaski C. (A), Warren C. (A2)
14:12, 3 - 6, Dubrovtsev Y. (G), Warren C. (A), Vaughan P. (A2)
17:31, 4 - 6, Testa L. (G), Edgar E. (A), Matheson L. (A2)
19:23, 4 - 7, Moses S. (G),
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 9th and 8th in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrie won 4.
Recent results have been tough for Barrie (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by North Bay have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
North Bay may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Barrie has faced a series of away games on the road.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with North Bay holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Barrie has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 58:58 (averaging 2.9:2.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Barrie against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 31:26 goals (averaging 3.4:2.9 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Barrie Colts - the odds 3.16 are the expected chance of winning is 29.07%, but this team recently wins 24% of matches with these odds.
North Bay Battalion - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.66%, but this team recently wins 77% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Bach H. (G) 
Vreugdenhil C. (G) 
Dubrovtsev Y. 
Karmanov A. 
Konobelj O. 
Pronin A. 
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