The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barrie Colts 52.2%
Draw 20.1%
Saginaw Spirit 27.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.7%
19.1%
25.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.5%
18.5%
24.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barrie Colts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Saginaw Spirit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrie Colts than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barrie Colts, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saginaw Spirit than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
62. Hrebik B. (G)
63. Shurygin S. (G)
77. Aitcheson K.
14. Barabanov E.
23. Armstrong E.
6. Barch H.
9. Assadourian A.
72. Barnes B.
44. Barton N.
28. Campbell L.
29. Beaudoin C.
42. Cloutier J.
17. Black S.
95. Geldart G.
14. Crombie C.
15. Gervais S.
2. Desiderio N.
5. Glavin J.
37. Edgar E.
73. Guo J.
78. Eliasson G.
88. Hanrahan R.
41. Emerton C.
13. Harmer C.
25. Gardiner B.
4. Harper L.
91. Gauvreau L.
9. Jones G.
16. Handsor J.
98. Klepov N.
28. Hemming E.
8. Najim B.
85. Lowe C.
10. O'Neill C.
83. McCormick J.
62. Pepoy B.
84. Newton J.
78. Rausa J.
88. Passmore E.
11. Roscoe D.
15. Salandra J.
43. Satan M.
11. Schneid W.
92. Sima N.
71. Stewart B.
21. Storch L.
4. Vader T.
26. Theuer T.
17. Velliaris X.
74. Wilson Z.
71. Zhilkin D.
Substitutes
33. Bach H. (G)
31. Papineau K. (G)
1. Jaswal A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
09', 0 - 1, Cloutier J. (G), Zhilkin D. (A), Gervais S. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
19:19, 1 - 1, Stewart B. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 1)
02:53, 1 - 2, Harmer C. (G),
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrie won 2.
Barrie is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Saginaw has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Saginaw may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Saginaw has had a series of home games.
In this match, Barrie is the team to beat.
We predict that Barrie will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barrie won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 93:71. (average 4.7:3.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Barrie won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 51:36. (average 5.1:3.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Barrie Colts - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.75%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.