Match Info

National League - Round 10

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Tissot Arena (Biel/Bienne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	MySports, MySports


	Biel		Lugano

	1	X	2
	2.11	4.75	2.65	Watch
	2.12	4.30	2.63
	2.18	4.23	2.66
	2.15	4.51	2.6	Watch
	2.13	4.10	2.60
	2.22	4.45	2.69
	2.15	4.30	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.24)	4.38 ↓ (4.48)	2.63 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Biel
43.3%

Draw
21.3%

Lugano
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

20.8%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

21.9%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Biel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Biel than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Biel - Lugano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 13th in the National League (Play Out: ) and 10th in the Promotion - National League Promotion - Playoffs).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Biel won 3.

Recent results have been tough for Biel (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Lugano has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Biel could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Biel has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 59:56 (averaging 3:2.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Biel against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 32:18 goals (averaging 3.2:1.8 per game).

Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now

Lugano: 5.5% Biel: 3.28%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
9	Lugano	9	3	1	1	4	33:31	12
13	Biel	9	3	0	1	5	29:32	10

Last Results with these Odds

Biel - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.67%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Lugano - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.49%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EHC Biel
Swiss National League Hockey
09.10.26	Bern - Biel	4:2 ✺
03.10.26	Biel - Davos	4:3 ✺
02.10.26	Lausanne HC - Biel	7:4 ✺
29.09.26	ZSC Lions - Biel	6:3 ✺
27.09.26	Biel - Genève-Servette	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL
- HC Lugano
Swiss National League Hockey
09.10.26	Lugano - ZSC Lions	2:3 OT ✺
07.10.26	Lausanne HC - Lugano	2:5 ✺
04.10.26	Ajoie - Lugano	5:4 ✺
02.10.26	Lugano - Rapperswil-Jona Lakers	5:2 ✺
29.09.26	SCL Tigers - Lugano	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss National League Hockey
24.02.26	Lugano - Biel	3:4 penalties
02.01.26	Biel - Lugano	3:1
15.11.25	Lugano - Biel	6:0
16.09.25	Biel - Lugano	3:2 OT
01.03.25	Lugano - Biel	4:2
07.01.25	Biel - Lugano	2:1
15.11.24	Lugano - Biel	6:3

Biel - Lugano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide