Match Info

AHL

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Total Mortgage Arena (Bridgeport, CT) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	19:00	Flohockey


	Bridgeport Islanders		Rochester Americans

	1	X	2
	3	4.2	1.87	Watch
	3.05	4.25	1.94
	2.91	4.1	2
	3.32	4.33	1.84	Watch
	2.97	4.23	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.32)	4.22 ↓ (4.33)	1.93 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bridgeport Islanders
30.3%

Draw
21.9%

Rochester Americans
47.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28%

21.5%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

21.5%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bridgeport Islanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Rochester Americans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bridgeport Islanders than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochester Americans than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Bridgeport Islanders - Rochester Americans Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hogberg M. (G)	27. Levi D. (G)
34. Beckman A.	12. Fiddler-Schultz R.
47. Day S.	91. Helenius K.
36. Drew H.	23. Johnson R.
12. Gatcomb M.	39. Jones Z.
44. Gauthier J.	8. Joshua J.
20. Highmore M. (A)	21. Kopff T.
16. Jefferies A.	16. Kuntar T.
11. Kuefler D.	36. Laaouan N.
17. Larson J.	7. Leschyshyn J.
26. Liukas E.	22. Metsa Z. (C)
18. Maggio M.	72. Meyer C.
3. McWard C.	20. Nadeau O.
27. Pulkkinen J.	79. Neuchev V.
24. Rowe L.	74. Novikov N.
29. Sustr A.	5. Rathbone J. (A)
25. Terry C. (A)	19. Slaggert G.
15. Thiesing C.	24. Wahlberg A.
6. Warren M.	45. Warren B. (A)
Substitutes
39. Gahagen P. (G)	50. Leinonen T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 3)
03:42, 0 - 1, Rathbone J. (G), Meyer C. (A), Johnson R. (A2)
13:38, 0 - 2, Joshua J. (G), Metsa Z. (A), Wahlberg A. (A2)
14:27, 1 - 2, Thiesing C. (G), Warren M. (A), Rowe L. (A2)
19:56, 1 - 3, Joshua J. (G), Metsa Z. (A), Wahlberg A. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
03:55, 2 - 3, Gatcomb M. (G), Highmore M. (A), Warren M. (A2)
13:59, 3 - 3, Gauthier J. (G), Warren M. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
11:04, 3 - 4, Helenius K. (G), Metsa Z. (A),
18:55, 3 - 5, Wahlberg A. (G),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bridgeport won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Rochester is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bridgeport won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 59:72. (average 3:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Bridgeport won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:32. (average 2.8:3.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Bridgeport Islanders - the odds 3.32 are the expected chance of winning is 28%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bridgeport Islanders
AHL
14.11.25	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Bridgeport Islanders	5:3 ✺
12.11.25	Bridgeport Islanders - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	4:5 penalties ✺
08.11.25	Bridgeport Islanders - Springfield Thunderbirds	6:1 ✺
07.11.25	Springfield Thunderbirds - Bridgeport Islanders	2:6 ✺
05.11.25	Bridgeport Islanders - Lehigh Valley Phantoms	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLWWL
- Rochester Americans
AHL
14.11.25	Hartford Wolf Pack - Rochester Americans	3:4 OT ✺
12.11.25	Rochester Americans - Belleville Senators	4:6 ✺
09.11.25	Hershey Bears - Rochester Americans	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Rochester Americans - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	6:4 ✺
05.11.25	Rochester Americans - Syracuse Crunch	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

AHL
28.03.25	Rochester Americans - Bridgeport Islanders	6:0
04.01.25	Bridgeport Islanders - Rochester Americans	3:6
07.04.24	Bridgeport Islanders - Rochester Americans	4:5 penalties
13.10.23	Rochester Americans - Bridgeport Islanders	3:4 OT
20.01.23	Bridgeport Islanders - Rochester Americans	1:0 OT
25.11.22	Rochester Americans - Bridgeport Islanders	6:5 OT
27.03.22	Rochester Americans - Bridgeport Islanders	5:6 OT

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