Match Info

AHL

Date: 12 November 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Scotiabank Saddledome (Calgary, AB) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	21:00	Flohockey


	Calgary Wranglers		Ontario Reign

	1	X	2
	2.25	4	2.4	Watch
	2.4	4.1	2.4
	2.41	3.94	2.38
	2.32	4.10	2.48	Watch
	2.42	4.13	2.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.32)	4.05 ↓ (4.1)	2.42 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calgary Wranglers
39.1%

Draw
22.7%

Ontario Reign
38.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40%

22.6%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

23.2%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calgary Wranglers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Ontario Reign has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calgary Wranglers than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ontario Reign than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Calgary Wranglers - Ontario Reign Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Prosvetov I. (G)	1. Portillo E. (G)
49. Basha A.	58. Bolduc S.
22. Bell P.	24. Booth A.
19. Bishop C. (C)	7. Burroughs K.
48. Brzustewicz H.	8. Chromiak M.
41. Cicek N.	17. Connors K.
29. Frk M. (A)	55. Dvorak J.
20. Gallant A. (A)	21. Gawdin G. (A)
18. Gridin M.	81. Guttman C.
3. Grushnikov A.	27. Hicketts J. (C)
15. Hunt D.	47. Hughes J.
44. King C.	86. Jamsen A.
33. Mack S.	19. Kirsanov K.
26. Miromanov D.	26. Lee A.
21. Morin E.	71. Pinelli F.
45. Morton S.	14. Thomas A.
25. Silye D.	34. Ward T. (A)
11. Stromgren W.	78. Wright J.
36. Suniev A.	13. Ziemmer K.
Substitutes
30. Say O. (G)	29. Copley P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
17:19, 1 - 0, Frk M. (G), Hunt D. (A), King C. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
08:13, 2 - 0, Bishop C. (G), Silye D. (A),
16:50, 2 - 1, Thomas A. (G), Chromiak M. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
07:09, 2 - 2, Dvorak J. (G), Pinelli F. (A), Connors K. (A2)
09:03, 3 - 2, Suniev A. (G), Stromgren W. (A), Brzustewicz H. (A2)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Calgary has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 45:60. (average 2.3:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Calgary won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:31. (average 2:3.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Ontario Reign - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.4%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calgary Wranglers
AHL
11.11.25	Calgary Wranglers - Ontario Reign	1:5 ✺
08.11.25	Calgary Wranglers - San Jose Barracuda	1:4 ✺
06.11.25	Calgary Wranglers - San Jose Barracuda	3:4 ✺
02.11.25	Calgary Wranglers - Bakersfield Condors	6:1 ✺
01.11.25	Calgary Wranglers - Bakersfield Condors	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLWW
- Ontario Reign
AHL
11.11.25	Calgary Wranglers - Ontario Reign	1:5 ✺
08.11.25	Ontario Reign - San Diego Gulls	4:3 OT ✺
07.11.25	San Diego Gulls - Ontario Reign	6:4 ✺
04.11.25	Ontario Reign - San Jose Barracuda	2:1 OT ✺
01.11.25	San Jose Barracuda - Ontario Reign	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

AHL
11.11.25	Calgary Wranglers - Ontario Reign	1:5
05.04.25	Calgary Wranglers - Ontario Reign	3:1
23.02.25	Ontario Reign - Calgary Wranglers	2:1 penalties
17.02.25	Calgary Wranglers - Ontario Reign	2:3 OT
15.02.25	Calgary Wranglers - Ontario Reign	3:4 OT
21.01.25	Ontario Reign - Calgary Wranglers	6:1
19.01.25	Ontario Reign - Calgary Wranglers	4:5 OT

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