Match Info

NHL

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday

Location: Ball Arena (Denver, CO)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	9 Go!
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	beIN Sports MAX 5
Germany	NHL.tv
Mexico	Disney+, Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Sweden	Viaplay
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN USA, ESPN+, MSG Sportsnet, MSG, NESN
Venezuela	Disney+
International	NHL.tv


	Colorado Avalanche		Pittsburgh Penguins

	1	X	2
	1.70	4.50	3.80	Watch
	1.75	4.33	3.60
	1.77	4.70	3.65
	1.82	4.50	3.60
	1.81	4.51	3.59	Watch
	1.81	4.45	3.55
	1.86	4.62	3.62
	1.74	4.40	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.83)	4.5 (4.5)	3.62 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colorado Avalanche
53%

Draw
21%

Pittsburgh Penguins
26.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.6%

21%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

22%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colorado Avalanche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Pittsburgh Penguins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Avalanche than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Colorado Avalanche - Pittsburgh Penguins Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Colorado will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Colorado (votes: 1 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

Games O/U 6.5 - over (1.80) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 4.

In recent outings, Colorado has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Pittsburgh has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Pittsburgh could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Colorado carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Colorado: O'Connor L. (Lower-Body Injury).

Confirmed absences for Pittsburgh: Brazeau J. (Lower-Body Injury) Graves R. (Knee Injury) Van Riemsdyk T. (Lower-Body Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Colorado: Roy N. (Lower-Body Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Colorado has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 65:67 (averaging 3.3:3.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Colorado against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 32:36 goals (averaging 3.2:3.6 per game).

Outrights of NHL for now

Colorado Avalanche: 9.58% Pittsburgh Penguins: 1.15%

Last Results with these Odds

Pittsburgh Penguins - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 27.38%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colorado Avalanche
NHL
14.10.26	Colorado Avalanche - Dallas Stars	2:3 penalties ✺
13.10.26	Dallas Stars - Colorado Avalanche	2:3 ✺
10.10.26	Colorado Avalanche - Toronto Maple Leafs	3:6 ✺
08.10.26	Calgary Flames - Colorado Avalanche	3:7 ✺
07.10.26	Winnipeg Jets - Colorado Avalanche	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLWL
- Pittsburgh Penguins
NHL
13.10.26	Chicago Blackhawks - Pittsburgh Penguins	5:3 ✺
10.10.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Dallas Stars	2:1 penalties ✺
09.10.26	Columbus Blue Jackets - Pittsburgh Penguins	3:2 penalties ✺
07.10.26	Washington Capitals - Pittsburgh Penguins	5:3 ✺
05.10.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Winnipeg Jets	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
24.03.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Colorado Avalanche	2:6
16.03.26	Colorado Avalanche - Pittsburgh Penguins	2:7
04.03.25	Colorado Avalanche - Pittsburgh Penguins	4:1
10.12.24	Pittsburgh Penguins - Colorado Avalanche	2:6
24.03.24	Colorado Avalanche - Pittsburgh Penguins	5:4 OT
26.10.23	Pittsburgh Penguins - Colorado Avalanche	4:0
22.03.23	Colorado Avalanche - Pittsburgh Penguins	2:5

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