Match Info

OHL

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday

Location: Sleeman Centre (Guelph, ON)


	Guelph Storm		Flint Firebirds

	1	X	2
	3.43	4.8	1.74
	3.68	4.79	1.65	Watch
	3.6	4.5	1.67
	3.4	4.5	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (3.45)	4.65 ↓ (4.67)	1.69 ↓ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guelph Storm
26%

Draw
19.7%

Flint Firebirds
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

19.7%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

21.6%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guelph Storm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Flint Firebirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guelph Storm than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flint Firebirds than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flint Firebirds, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Jovanovski Z. (G)	1. Vaccari M. (G)
17. Babin P.	19. Allen D.
13. Beauchesne Q. (A)	22. Anderson D.
73. Gallacher L.	76. Aspinall N. (C)
75. Haponenko M.	86. Battaglia J.
91. Hopkins T. (A)	13. Colosimo J.
19. Jenken N.	65. Fellinger R.
93. McFadden W.	14. Graziano L.
72. McKenzie H.	11. He K.
15. Miedema E.	10. Lombardi J. (A)
22. Pape M.	4. Morgan B.
20. Serlin L.	68. Murata C.
81. Shybinskyi I.	7. Paul J.
4. Singh R.	95. Pazii I.
9. Snelgrove P.	98. Podrekar U. (A)
21. Spada G.	77. Smith B.
96. Stevens C.	81. Tessier X.
12. Topp R. (A)	9. Thibodeau C.
77. Wycisk J.	8. Uljanskis D.
Substitutes
55. Ellsworth C. (G)	55. Courville M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
04:11, 0 - 1, He K. (G), Graziano L. (A), Aspinall N. (A2)
10:51, 0 - 2, Battaglia J. (G), Aspinall N. (A), Anderson D. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
05:00, 1 - 2, Jenken N. (G), Singh R. (A),
13:00, 1 - 3, He K. (G), Lombardi J. (A), Thibodeau C. (A2)
14:35, 1 - 4, Thibodeau C. (G), Podrekar U. (A), Battaglia J. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
02:22, 1 - 5, Podrekar U. (G), Murata C. (A), Pazii I. (A2)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).

Flint is Qualified for OHL (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guelph won 1.

Guelph has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Flint is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Guelph has had a series of away games.

In this match, Flint is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guelph won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 65:93. (average 3.3:4.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Guelph won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:45. (average 3.3:4.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Guelph Storm - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 26.62%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guelph Storm
OHL
11.02.26	London Knights - Guelph Storm	2:4 ✺
09.02.26	Niagara IceDogs - Guelph Storm	3:6 ✺
06.02.26	Kitchener Rangers - Guelph Storm	6:2 ✺
05.02.26	Erie Otters - Guelph Storm	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Owen Sound Attack - Guelph Storm	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWLWL
- Flint Firebirds
OHL
11.02.26	Flint Firebirds - Saginaw Spirit	4:5 ✺
07.02.26	Flint Firebirds - Erie Otters	3:1 ✺
06.02.26	Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds - Flint Firebirds	1:5 ✺
04.02.26	Sarnia Sting - Flint Firebirds	3:6 ✺
31.01.26	Flint Firebirds - Sarnia Sting	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

OHL
10.12.25	Flint Firebirds - Guelph Storm	9:1
22.11.25	Guelph Storm - Flint Firebirds	3:4
08.11.25	Flint Firebirds - Guelph Storm	6:3
18.03.25	Flint Firebirds - Guelph Storm	1:2
28.02.25	Guelph Storm - Flint Firebirds	3:5
10.01.25	Flint Firebirds - Guelph Storm	4:6
25.10.24	Guelph Storm - Flint Firebirds	2:7

Guelph Storm - Flint Firebirds: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide