Match Info

OHL

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sleeman Centre (Guelph, ON) 🌤️ ...


	Guelph Storm		Flint Firebirds

	1	X	2
	1.46	5.45	4.9
	1.4	5	5.6	Watch
	1.43	5.3	4.8
	1.36	4.9	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.71)	5.16 ↑ (4.53)	5.23 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guelph Storm
64.8%

Draw
17.7%

Flint Firebirds
17.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.9%

20.3%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

22%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guelph Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guelph Storm's performance.

Flint Firebirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flint Firebirds might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guelph Storm than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guelph Storm that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flint Firebirds than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flint Firebirds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guelph Storm - Flint Firebirds Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guelph (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
62. Hrebik B. (G)	74. Bennett T. (G)
86. Avery J.	22. Anderson D. (A)
17. Babin P.	44. Beauchesne C.
15. Bartovic A.	2. Bogas N.
8. Carscadden A.	27. Bonnyman J.
22. Czata E.	54. Bray J.
29. Dravecky V.	88. Cunningham R.
3. Frossard E.	65. Fellinger R. (A)
10. Griffin O. (A)	14. Graziano L.
91. Hopkins T. (A)	21. Guizzetti C.
14. Jenken N.	89. Hotles C.
19. Kazda T.	8. Klaucans M.
25. Roobroeck R. (A)	10. Lombardi J. (C)
81. Shybinskyi I.	4. Morgan B.
21. Spada G.	86. Murata C.
96. Stevens C.	79. Nutting L.
12. Topp R. (C)	7. Paul J.
16. Van Gelder B.	81. Tessier X.
77. Wycisk J.	9. Williams C.
Substitutes
30. Jovanovski Z. (G)	55. Courville M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
06:14, 0 - 1, Bonnyman J. (G), Guizzetti C. (A), Graziano L. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
02:20, 1 - 1, Jenken N. (G), Bartovic A. (A), Topp R. (A2)
06:05, 2 - 1, Spada G. (G),
13:50, 2 - 2, Murata C. (G), Tessier X. (A), Paul J. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
00:16, 3 - 2, Griffin O. (G), Dravecky V. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guelph won 1.

Guelph is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Performances by Flint have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Flint could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Flint has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Guelph carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Guelph has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 62:93 (averaging 3.1:4.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Guelph against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 30:45 goals (averaging 3:4.5 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guelph Storm
OHL
14.10.26	Sarnia Sting - Guelph Storm	2:5 ✺
10.10.26	Owen Sound Attack - Guelph Storm	5:10 ✺
09.10.26	Guelph Storm - Owen Sound Attack	3:2
04.10.26	Guelph Storm - Kitchener Rangers	6:0 ✺
02.10.26	Guelph Storm - Windsor Spitfires	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWWW
- Flint Firebirds
OHL
10.10.26	Flint Firebirds - Sarnia Sting	6:4 ✺
07.10.26	Flint Firebirds - Kitchener Rangers	5:2 ✺
04.10.26	London Knights - Flint Firebirds	2:7 ✺
03.10.26	Flint Firebirds - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds	2:3 ✺
26.09.26	Flint Firebirds - Niagara IceDogs	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

OHL
13.02.26	Guelph Storm - Flint Firebirds	1:5
10.12.25	Flint Firebirds - Guelph Storm	9:1
22.11.25	Guelph Storm - Flint Firebirds	3:4
08.11.25	Flint Firebirds - Guelph Storm	6:3
18.03.25	Flint Firebirds - Guelph Storm	1:2
28.02.25	Guelph Storm - Flint Firebirds	3:5
10.01.25	Flint Firebirds - Guelph Storm	4:6

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