The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fribourg-Gottéron 50%
Draw 21.3%
Lugano 28.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.9%
20.9%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.2%
21.4%
25.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fribourg-Gottéron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fribourg-Gottéron than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Fribourg Gottéron - Lugano Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Fribourg-Gottéron will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Waeber L. (G)
34. Schlegel N. (G)
12. Nemeth P.
60. Thomson L.
33. Johnson L.
52. Peltonen J.
22. Bertschy C. (A)
10. Bertaggia A.
95. De La Rose J. (A)
97. Thurkauf C. (C)
43. Schild T.
12. Innala J.
Line 2
5. Seiler S.
5. Guebey E.
77. Streule M.
22. Alatalo S. (A)
93. Dorthe J.
17. Fazzini L. (A)
73. Schmid S. (A)
21. Sanford Z.
9. Sorensen M.
15. Lycksell O.
Line 3
27. Rathgeb Y.
26. Aebischer D.
3. Kapla M.
9. Zanetti B.
39. Reber J.
19. Kupari R.
21. Borgstrom H.
73. Shore N.
29. Richard A.
91. Olsson D.
Line 4
7. Jecker B.
65. Cjunskis H.
37. Nicolet K.
11. Zanetti M.
40. Taibel J.
23. Morini G.
97. Marchon N.
7. Tanner R.
Substitutes
1. Galley L. (G)
88. Mayer R. (G)
11. Hedlund L.
13. Peltonen A.
Coaches
. Ronnberg R.
. Mitell T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
00:29, De La Rose J. (2 min),
04:39, Bertaggia A. (2 min),
15:02, Streule M. (2 min),
16:39, 0 - 1, Fazzini L. (G), Thomson L. (A), Lycksell O. (A2)
2nd Period (4 - 0)
03:08, Zanetti M. (2 min),
06:57, Kupari R. (5 min),
08:58, 1 - 1, Rathgeb Y. (G), Bertschy C. (A), Kapla M. (A2)
09:56, 2 - 1, Sorensen M. (G), Johnson L. (A), Schmid S. (A2)
10:03, Alatalo S. (2 min),
10:42, 3 - 1, Rathgeb Y. (G), Sorensen M. (A), Bertschy C. (A2)
11:12, 4 - 1, Bertschy C. (G), Kapla M. (A), Rathgeb Y. (A2)
13:04, Streule M. (2 min),
19:46, Tanner R. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
00:18, Thurkauf C. (2 min),
06:36, 5 - 1, Borgstrom H. (G), Nicolet K. (A), Rathgeb Y. (A2)
08:54, Fazzini L. (2 min),
10:13, 6 - 1, Johnson L. (G), De La Rose J. (A),
12:55, Streule M. (2 min),
15:46, Johnson L. (2 min),
18:45, Hedlund L. (2 min),
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 6th in the Promotion - National League Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 10th in the Promotion - National League Promotion - Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fribourg-Gottéron won 3.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Fribourg-Gottéron could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Fribourg-Gottéron holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Fribourg-Gottéron has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 60:42 (averaging 3:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Fribourg-Gottéron against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 29:18 goals (averaging 2.9:1.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
6
Fribourg
18
7
2
2
7
57:44
27
11
Lugano
17
6
1
2
8
53:58
22
Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now
Fribourg: 11.25% Lugano: 4.38%
Last Results with these Odds
Fribourg-Gottéron - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.95%, but this team recently wins 35% of matches with these odds.
Lugano - the odds 3.44 are the expected chance of winning is 27.18%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.