Match Info

Spengler Cup

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday

Location: BCF-Arena (Fribourg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CT sport, CT sport Plus
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Slovakia	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport 2
Switzerland	RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2


	Fribourg-Gottéron		HIFK

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.43	5.3	5.7
	1.95	4.82	2.91	Watch
	1.36	5	5.5
	1.42	5	5.14	Watch
	1.38	4.75	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.39)	4.97 ↑ (4.83)	4.9 ↓ (5.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fribourg-Gottéron
62.1%

Draw
18.8%

HIFK
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

18.5%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

18.1%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fribourg-Gottéron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

HIFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fribourg-Gottéron than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Fribourg Gottéron - HIFK Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fribourg-Gottéron (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Galley L. (G)	92. Hovinen N. (G)
96. Glauser A.	28. Ervasti K.
77. Streule M.	11. Melart I. (C)
9. Sorensen M.	27. Josling S.
95. De La Rose J.	47. Ashbrook T.
73. Schmid S.	54. Somervuori J.
Line 2
27. Rathgeb Y.	98. Larsen O.
3. Kapla M.	10. Ragnarsson J.
22. Bertschy C.	91. Akeson J.
21. Borgstrom H.	15. Somppi O. (A)
17. Biasca A.	52. Palmu P. (A)
Line 3
6. Friman N.	90. Salmela S.
5. Seiler S.	76. Pezzullo R.
86. Sprunger J.	96. Fahrni J.
23. Walser S.	42. Sinivuori L.
97. Marchon N.	19. Lundell K.
Line 4
7. Jecker B.	78. Seppala J.
37. Nicolet K.	79. Hartikainen S.
14. Ljunggren D.	82. Karjalainen A.
42. Rau K.
Substitutes
20. Berra R. (G)	60. Alnefelt H. (G)
79. Etter K.
Coaches
. Ronnberg R.	. Jokinen O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
01:01, 0 - 1, Larsen O. (G), Ragnarsson J. (A),
02:34, Ervasti K. (2 min),
02:34, Friman N. (2 min),
03:55, Pezzullo R. (2 min),
06:54, 1 - 1, Sorensen M. (G), Seiler S. (A),
08:53, Seiler S. (2 min),
09:13, 1 - 2, Somppi O. (G),
15:11, Glauser A. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
01:00, 2 - 2, Biasca A. (G), Borgstrom H. (A),
03:00, Sorensen M. (2 min),
03:00, Ashbrook T. (2 min),
09:25, Rathgeb Y. (5 min),
09:25, Rathgeb Y. (2 min),
09:25, Somppi O. (5 min),
12:22, 3 - 2, Friman N. (G), Biasca A. (A),
13:44, Palmu P. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
03:03, Karjalainen A. (2 min),
03:35, 4 - 2, De La Rose J. (G), Kapla M. (A), Ljunggren D. (A2)
04:46, Ervasti K. (2 min),
08:59, De La Rose J. (2 min),
16:34, 4 - 3, Palmu P. (G), Melart I. (A),

Preview

Fribourg-Gottéron is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

HIFK's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Fribourg-Gottéron may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fribourg-Gottéron is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Fribourg-Gottéron will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fribourg-Gottéron won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Fribourg-Gottéron won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Fribourg-Gotteron
Spengler Cup
26.12.25	Fribourg-Gottéron - Sparta Prague	5:2 ✺
Swiss National League Hockey
23.12.25	EHC Kloten - Fribourg-Gottéron	4:3 ✺
20.12.25	Fribourg-Gottéron - ZSC Lions	4:2 ✺
19.12.25	Ambrì-Piotta - Fribourg-Gottéron	5:6 OT ✺
17.12.25	Fribourg-Gottéron - Ajoie	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWWW
- HIFK Hockey
Spengler Cup
27.12.25	HIFK - Sparta Prague	1:4 ✺
Finnish SM-liiga
20.12.25	TPS - HIFK	4:3 ✺
19.12.25	HIFK - TPS	3:4 OT ✺
17.12.25	HIFK - HPK	4:3 ✺
13.12.25	Vaasan Sport - HIFK	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Ice Hockey
11.11.14	HIFK - Fribourg-Gottéron	3:1
04.11.14	Fribourg-Gottéron - HIFK	2:2

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