Match Info

VHL

Date: 8 September 2025, Monday

Location: Ledovaya Arena A. Kozitsyna (Verkhnyaya Pyshma)


	Gornyak-UGMK		Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.58	5
	1.53	4.8	4.82	Watch
	1.73	4.4	3.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.73)	4.59 ↑ (4)	4.54 ↑ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gornyak-UGMK
59%

Draw
20.4%

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

23.4%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

23.1%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Gornyak UGMK - Olympia Kirovo Chepetsk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Gornyak-UGMK (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gornyak-UGMK (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Novosyolov N. (G)	48. Kuznetsov G. (G)
4. Bolshakov M.	55. Vanin D.
85. Zhuravlyov Y.	96. Podzins Z.
96. Miller N.	11. Kolgotin D. (A)
10. Filyayev V.	26. Fischenko I. (A)
56. Ovchinnikov I. (A)	63. Valeyev A.
Line 2
95. Dumchenko N.	4. Fedotov A. (C)
92. Valitov D.	91. Lyakhov A.
7. Gordin A.	61. Valitsky I.
13. Zaitsev O. (C)	14. Drobin A.
80. Demidovich V.	60. Gareyev A.
Line 3
90. Nekrasov N. (A)	18. Tolpegin D.
3. Zubarev A.	3. Yepishin M.
14. Makhrin M.	34. Ponomaryov T.
70. Alexeyev Y.	25. Pikov M.
44. Lukhovskoy N.	21. Ovechkin D.
Line 4
72. Trofimov Y.	36. Aksyonov A.
59. Razdyakonov V.	79. Gusev M. M.
18. Sushchev V.	13. Appelgants V.
63. Isayev D.	15. Novokshenov I.
	22. Rozhkovskiy A.
Substitutes
20. Obvintsev T. (G)	33. Kuzin A. S. (G)
24. Velikov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
06:14, 0 - 1, Valeyev A. (G), Fischenko I. (A), Gareyev A. (A2)
12:12, 1 - 1, Zhuravlyov Y. (G), Gordin A. (A), Filyayev V. (A2)
2nd Period (4 - 0)
10:31, 2 - 1, Alexeyev Y. (G), Makhrin M. (A), Lukhovskoy N. (A2)
14:44, 3 - 1, Ovchinnikov I. (G), Filyayev V. (A), Gordin A. (A2)
18:16, 4 - 1, Demidovich V. (G), Zaitsev O. (A), Gordin A. (A2)
19:39, 5 - 1, Miller N. (G), Ovchinnikov I. (A), Filyayev V. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 2)
02:52, 5 - 2, Vanin D. (G),
05:24, 6 - 2, Sushchev V. (G), Trofimov Y. (A),
16:26, 7 - 2, Gordin A. (G),
19:34, 7 - 3, Valitsky I. (G),

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Gornyak-UGMK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, Gornyak-UGMK is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 3.5:3.5).

Including home match between the teams, Gornyak-UGMK won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5.

Last Results with these Odds

Gornyak-UGMK - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 54.13%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - the odds 4.17 are the expected chance of winning is 22.46%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gornyak-UGMK
VHL
02.09.25	Chelmet - Gornyak-UGMK	2:5 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
25.08.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Gornyak-UGMK	3:2 ✺
21.08.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:5 ✺
15.08.25	Zvezda Moscow - Gornyak-UGMK	5:1 ✺
13.08.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Gornyak-UGMK	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLLW
- Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk
VHL
06.09.25	Chelmet - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	1:2 ✺
04.09.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	4:0 ✺
02.09.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
30.08.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	N/A ✺
29.08.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WLL?W

Latest Head to Head

VHL
21.12.24	Gornyak-UGMK - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	4:5
26.11.24	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Gornyak-UGMK	2:3 OT

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