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Current Win Probability
Zauralie Kurgan 37.6%
Draw 23.5%
Gornyak-UGMK 38.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.9%
25.9%
35.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.6%
29%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zauralie Kurgan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zauralie Kurgan than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zauralie Kurgan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gornyak-UGMK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Zauralie Kurgan - Gornyak UGMK Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
20. Vinogradov Z. (G)
93. Romashkin P. (G)
16. Avvakumov I.
90. Nekrasov N. (A)
43. Ugolnikov A. (C)
4. Bolshakov M.
11. Ryzhov K.
7. Gordin A.
34. Tagirov K.
13. Zaytsev O. (C)
47. Grymzin S.
80. Demidovich V.
Line 2
61. Kozhemyakin G.
85. Zhuravlyov Y.
77. Belyakov F.
72. Trofimov Y.
99. Kolesnikov S.
96. Miller N.
78. Komaristy A. (A)
14. Makhrin M. (A)
8. Galiaskarov E.
44. Lukhovskoy N.
Line 3
3. Shikun A.
26. Ishimnikov N.
67. Vasilyev K.
83. Karpovich D.
51. Shipin D.
29. Khremkin K.
93. Kozlov I. (A)
10. Filyayev V.
7. Baldayev D.
32. Borisov S.
Line 4
48. Denisevich B.
95. Dumchenko N.
97. Bogdanov A.
91. Malorosiyanov D.
98. Govorkov R.
87. Loza I.
87. Nizovtsev S.
67. Gashilov L.
59. Razdyakonov V.
Substitutes
30. Yeryomin I. (G)
35. Tulinov N. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
10:46, 0 - 1, Zaytsev O. (G), Ishimnikov N. (A), Demidovich V. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
12:33, 1 - 1, Ryzhov K. (G),
18:04, 2 - 1, Komaristy A. (G), Galiaskarov E. (A), Avvakumov I. (A2)
19:36, 2 - 2, Borisov S. (G), Khremkin K. (A), Lukhovskoy N. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
04:05, 3 - 2, Baldayev D. (G), Shipin D. (A), Komaristy A. (A2)
19:08, 3 - 3, Gordin A. (G), Zaytsev O. (A), Zhuravlyov Y. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
01', 4 - 3, (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zauralie won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Gornyak-UGMK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Zauralie has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zauralie won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 40:58. (average 2:2.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Zauralie won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:34. (average 2.2:2.8).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
28
Kurgan
10
0
2
4
4
15:27
8
Last Results with these Odds
Zauralie Kurgan - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 38.85%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Vinogradov Z. (G) 
Demidovich V. 
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