Match Info

VHL

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mostovik Arena (Kurgan) 🌤️ ...


	Zauralie Kurgan		Gornyak-UGMK

	1	X	2
	2.43	4.05	2.43	Watch
	2.45	3.75	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.34)	3.9 ↑ (3.5)	2.37 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zauralie Kurgan
37.6%

Draw
23.5%

Gornyak-UGMK
38.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.9%

25.9%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

27.4%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zauralie Kurgan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zauralie Kurgan than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gornyak-UGMK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Zauralie Kurgan - Gornyak UGMK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
20. Vinogradov Z. (G)	93. Romashkin P. (G)
16. Avvakumov I.	90. Nekrasov N. (A)
43. Ugolnikov A. (C)	4. Bolshakov M.
11. Ryzhov K.	7. Gordin A.
34. Tagirov K.	13. Zaytsev O. (C)
47. Grymzin S.	80. Demidovich V.
Line 2
61. Kozhemyakin G.	85. Zhuravlyov Y.
77. Belyakov F.	72. Trofimov Y.
99. Kolesnikov S.	96. Miller N.
78. Komaristy A. (A)	14. Makhrin M. (A)
8. Galiaskarov E.	44. Lukhovskoy N.
Line 3
3. Shikun A.	26. Ishimnikov N.
67. Vasilyev K.	83. Karpovich D.
51. Shipin D.	29. Khremkin K.
93. Kozlov I. (A)	10. Filyayev V.
7. Baldayev D.	32. Borisov S.
Line 4
48. Denisevich B.	95. Dumchenko N.
97. Bogdanov A.	91. Malorosiyanov D.
98. Govorkov R.	87. Loza I.
87. Nizovtsev S.	67. Gashilov L.
	59. Razdyakonov V.
Substitutes
30. Yeryomin I. (G)	35. Tulinov N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
10:46, 0 - 1, Zaytsev O. (G), Ishimnikov N. (A), Demidovich V. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
12:33, 1 - 1, Ryzhov K. (G),
18:04, 2 - 1, Komaristy A. (G), Galiaskarov E. (A), Avvakumov I. (A2)
19:36, 2 - 2, Borisov S. (G), Khremkin K. (A), Lukhovskoy N. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
04:05, 3 - 2, Baldayev D. (G), Shipin D. (A), Komaristy A. (A2)
19:08, 3 - 3, Gordin A. (G), Zaytsev O. (A), Zhuravlyov Y. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
01', 4 - 3, (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zauralie won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Gornyak-UGMK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Zauralie has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zauralie won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 40:58. (average 2:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Zauralie won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:34. (average 2.2:2.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
27	Kurgan	17	2	2	4	9	30:49	12

Last Results with these Odds

Zauralie Kurgan - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 38.85%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zauralie Kurgan
VHL
28.12.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Zauralie Kurgan	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Izhstal - Zauralie Kurgan	2:1 ✺
24.12.25	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Zauralie Kurgan	0:3 ✺
22.12.25	Molot Perm - Zauralie Kurgan	4:3 ✺
17.12.25	Zauralie Kurgan - AKM	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWLW
- Gornyak-UGMK
VHL
08.01.26	Rubin Tyumen - Gornyak-UGMK	3:2 OT ✺
06.01.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Gornyak-UGMK	0:2 ✺
23.12.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Zvezda Moscow	3:0 ✺
21.12.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Khimik	3:2 penalties ✺
19.12.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Torpedo-Gorky	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
11.11.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Zauralie Kurgan	4:3
28.01.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Gornyak-UGMK	1:2
23.10.24	Gornyak-UGMK - Zauralie Kurgan	6:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
17.08.24	Zauralie Kurgan - Gornyak-UGMK	3:4 penalties
09.08.24	Zauralie Kurgan - Gornyak-UGMK	0:2
VHL
28.12.23	Zauralie Kurgan - Gornyak-UGMK	2:1
03.09.23	Gornyak-UGMK - Zauralie Kurgan	1:2

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