Match Info

AHL

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday

Location: Giant Center (Hershey, PA)


	Hershey Bears		Toronto Marlies

	1	X	2
	2.2	4	2.45	Watch
	2.34	4	2.5
	2.29	3.96	2.52
	2.25	4.23	2.53	Watch
	2.27	3.94	2.48	Watch
	2.19	3.97	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.25)	4.02 ↓ (4.23)	2.49 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hershey Bears
40.5%

Draw
22.7%

Toronto Marlies
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

22%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

21.9%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hershey Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Toronto Marlies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hershey Bears than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Hershey Bears - Toronto Marlies Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Hershey will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bjorklund G. (G)	70. Akhtyamov A. (G)
2. Allen C.	68. Barbolini M.
7. Belpedio L. (A)	72. Boyd T. (A)
43. Bitten S.	58. Chadwick N.
5. Chesley R.	53. Cowan E.
92. Clarke G.	29. Groulx B.
20. Cristall A.	65. Johnson R. (A)
19. Cruikshank G.	71. Lettieri V.
48. Gucciardi D.	92. Nylander A.
13. Mateiko E.	56. Pare C.
27. Ness A. (C)	37. Prokop J.
40. Protas I.	26. Quillan J.
12. Rybinski H.	11. Shaw L. (C)
6. Schueneman C.	59. Smith B.
37. Smith D.	3. Thrun H.
45. Strome M. (A)	77. Tverberg R.
41. Suzdalev A.	39. Valis B.
39. Thomas P.	76. Villeneuve W.
22. Toporowski L.	52. Webber C.
Substitutes
31. Stevenson C. (G)	50. Peksa V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
00:18, 1 - 0, Strome M. (G), Bitten S. (A), Smith D. (A2)
07:39, 1 - 1, Thrun H. (G), Pare C. (A), Boyd T. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
05:06, 2 - 1, Bitten S. (G), Schueneman C. (A), Strome M. (A2)
06:19, 2 - 2, Boyd T. (G),
17:26, 2 - 3, Johnson R. (G), Boyd T. (A), Thrun H. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
15:52, 2 - 4, Barbolini M. (G), Chadwick N. (A), Tverberg R. (A2)
18:23, 2 - 5, Boyd T. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hershey won 3.

Hershey is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Toronto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Hershey has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Hershey will win today's game, with odds of 2.23.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hershey won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 59:57. (average 3:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Hershey won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:31. (average 2.9:3.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Hershey Bears - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.3%, but this team recently wins 35% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hershey Bears
AHL
01.11.25	Providence Bruins - Hershey Bears	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Springfield Thunderbirds - Hershey Bears	2:3 OT ✺
29.10.25	Bridgeport Islanders - Hershey Bears	1:3 ✺
25.10.25	Hershey Bears - Lehigh Valley Phantoms	4:3 penalties ✺
24.10.25	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Hershey Bears	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWWL
- Toronto Marlies
AHL
05.11.25	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Toronto Marlies	3:4 OT ✺
02.11.25	Chicago Wolves - Toronto Marlies	2:4 ✺
01.11.25	Chicago Wolves - Toronto Marlies	4:1 ✺
29.10.25	Toronto Marlies - Syracuse Crunch	4:5 ✺
26.10.25	Toronto Marlies - Belleville Senators	4:5 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

AHL
21.12.24	Hershey Bears - Toronto Marlies	3:7
20.11.24	Toronto Marlies - Hershey Bears	4:3 OT
17.02.24	Toronto Marlies - Hershey Bears	2:3 OT
28.01.24	Hershey Bears - Toronto Marlies	4:3 OT
29.03.23	Toronto Marlies - Hershey Bears	1:3
03.03.23	Hershey Bears - Toronto Marlies	4:3
17.03.22	Toronto Marlies - Hershey Bears	3:0

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