Match Info

KHL

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday

Location: CSKA Arena (Moscow)


	HC CSKA Moscow		Lada Togliatti

	1	X	2
	1.41	5.5	6.3
	1.38	6.13	6.99	Watch
	1.41	5.5	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.38)	5.71 ↓ (6.13)	6.35 ↓ (6.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HC CSKA Moscow
68.2%

Draw
16.7%

Lada Togliatti
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.3%

15.8%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2%

15.8%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HC CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Lada Togliatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HC CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

HC CSKA Moscow - Lada Togliatti Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Lada will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lada: 64.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. CSKA (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Lada (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Gamzin D. (G)	60. Bocharov I. (G)
55. Okhotyuk N. (A)	27. Cotton A.
79. Roy J.	42. Syomin V. (A)
19. Drozdov I.	66. Mikhailov N.
15. Karnaukhov P. (C)	13. Sawchuk R.
34. Gurianov D.	90. Belousov G.
Line 2
88. Yeryomenko V.	81. Hollowell M.
28. Patrikhayev I.	29. Bokun D.
11. Abramov V.	84. Altybarmakyan A.
16. Zernov D.	10. Chivilyov A.
51. Kovalenko N.	18. Kugryshev D. (C)
Line 3
5. Samorukov D.	8. Zemchyonok A. (A)
45. Provolnev V.	9. Antipin V.
91. Sprong D.	98. Jurco T.
27. Sorkin M. (A)	94. Graovac T.
13. Poltapov P.	91. Burdasov A.
Line 4
76. Shuravin M.	64. Belousov M.
26. Dolzhenkov K.	77. Gogolev P.
23. Gardner R.	63. Groshev Y.
97. Churkin A.	71. Bashkirov D.
Substitutes
63. Mingachyov T.	1. Trushkov A. (G)
32. Samonov A. (G)
Coaches
. Nikitin I.	. Desyatkov P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
00:47, Abramov V. (2 min),
03:06, 1 - 0, Poltapov P. (G), Sprong D. (A),
08:31, Burdasov A. (2 min),
15:25, 2 - 0, Mingachyov T. (G), Karnaukhov P. (A), Samorukov D. (A2)
17:56, Jurco T. (2 min),
19:25, 3 - 0, Patrikhayev I. (G), Kovalenko N. (A), Karnaukhov P. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
00:01, Bocharov I. ↓, Trushkov A. ↑,
05:17, Provolnev V. (2 min),
10:55, Karnaukhov P. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
11:23, 3 - 1, Belousov M. (G), Sawchuk R. (A), Mikhailov N. (A2)
12:49, (2 min),
14:11, 3 - 2, Graovac T. (G), Jurco T. (A), Hollowell M. (A2)
18:13, 4 - 2, Roy J. (G),

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 9 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 3.

Recent form of CSKA has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Lada has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

CSKA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, CSKA has had a series of away games.

In this match, CSKA is the obvious favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 43:21. (average 3.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, CSKA won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:10. (average 3.9:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC CSKA Moscow
KHL
24.11.25	HC CSKA Moscow - SKA Saint Petersburg	1:4 ✺
20.11.25	Dinamo Minsk - HC CSKA Moscow	5:2 ✺
18.11.25	Ak Bars Kazan - HC CSKA Moscow	1:4 ✺
16.11.25	Severstal Cherepovets - HC CSKA Moscow	4:3 OT ✺
14.11.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - HC CSKA Moscow	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWLL
- HC Lada Togliatti
KHL
25.11.25	Sochi - Lada Togliatti	3:5 ✺
23.11.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Lada Togliatti	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Lada Togliatti - Avangard Omsk	0:3 ✺
16.11.25	Lada Togliatti - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:1 ✺
12.11.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Lada Togliatti	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
28.09.25	HC CSKA Moscow - Lada Togliatti	7:2
19.11.24	Lada Togliatti - HC CSKA Moscow	1:4
10.11.24	HC CSKA Moscow - Lada Togliatti	4:1
05.11.23	HC CSKA Moscow - Lada Togliatti	3:4
21.09.23	Lada Togliatti - HC CSKA Moscow	3:1
11.01.18	HC CSKA Moscow - Lada Togliatti	3:0
29.12.17	Lada Togliatti - HC CSKA Moscow	1:2

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