Match Info

KHL

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday

Location: Bolshoy Ice Dome (Sochi)


	Sochi		Lada Togliatti

	1	X	2
	2.25	4.3	2.82	Watch
	2.2	4	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.29)	4.15 ↓ (4.37)	2.81 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochi
43%

Draw
23%

Lada Togliatti
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

22.2%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

20.5%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Lada Togliatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	14.3%	7.1%

Sochi - Lada Togliatti Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Sochi will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Lada will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sochi: 57.1% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sochi will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Samsonov I. (G)	60. Bocharov I. (G)
23. Machulin V.	22. Williams C.
11. Volkov A. (A)	99. Makarov N.
34. Popov S.	98. Jurco T.
87. Khafizov T. (A)	13. Sawchuk R.
78. Polyakov N.	84. Altybarmakyan A. (A)
Line 2
88. Nikolayev I.	27. Cotton A.
22. Hoefenmayer N.	29. Bokun D.
41. Bitten W.	25. Romanov I.
24. Bikmullin R.	10. Chivilyov A.
79. Bashkirov D.	18. Kugryshev D. (C)
Line 3
51. Sushko I.	42. Syomin V. (A)
12. Lee C.	47. Morozov Y.
72. Maximov R.	88. Setdikov N.
77. Guskov M.	21. Savchik I.
27. Kagarlitsky D.	76. Tyanulin A.
Line 4
5. Sapozhnikov A.	64. Belousov M.
25. Dedunov P. (C)	43. Ozhgikhin A.
61. Beaudin J.	63. Groshev Y.
15. Utkin D.	77. Gogolev P.
Substitutes
19. Avershin D.	1. Trushkov A. (G)
30. Khomchenko P. (G)
Coaches
. Mikhailov D.	. Desyatkov P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
05:36, 0 - 1, Setdikov N. (G), Williams C. (A), Tyanulin A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
02:43, Volkov A. (2 min),
06:13, 0 - 2, Romanov I. (G), Chivilyov A. (A), Tyanulin A. (A2)
06:51, Ozhgikhin A. (2 min),
07:38, Cotton A. (2 min),
09:50, 0 - 3, Cotton A. (G), Williams C. (A),
11:52, Avershin D. (2 min),
13:51, Makarov N. (2 min),
15:05, 1 - 3, Popov S. (G), Kagarlitsky D. (A), Lee C. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
00:44, Makarov N. (2 min),
06:17, 1 - 4, Groshev Y. (G), Gogolev P. (A), Makarov N. (A2)
13:54, Beaudin J. (2 min),
14:23, Polyakov N. (2 min),
15:30, Volkov A. (2 min),

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 2.

In recent matches, Sochi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lada has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sochi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sochi has had a series of home games.

Recently, Lada has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Sochi will win today's game, with odds of 2.23.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 55:45. (average 2.9:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sochi won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 3:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Sochi
KHL
07.01.26	Sochi - Dynamo Moscow	0:3 ✺
05.01.26	Sochi - Dynamo Moscow	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Sochi - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:1 ✺
28.12.25	Sochi - SKA Saint Petersburg	8:4 ✺
25.12.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Sochi	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 LWWWL
- HC Lada Togliatti
KHL
07.01.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Lada Togliatti	5:4 OT ✺
05.01.26	Shanghai Dragons - Lada Togliatti	3:2 ✺
03.01.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Lada Togliatti	4:2 ✺
30.12.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Lada Togliatti	4:3 ✺
28.12.25	Avangard Omsk - Lada Togliatti	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
25.11.25	Sochi - Lada Togliatti	3:5
07.10.25	Lada Togliatti - Sochi	3:1
30.09.25	Sochi - Lada Togliatti	4:0
24.09.25	Lada Togliatti - Sochi	4:5 penalties
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
29.08.25	Lada Togliatti - Sochi	3:2 OT
25.08.25	Sochi - Lada Togliatti	1:3
KHL
24.12.24	Lada Togliatti - Sochi	3:4

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