Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Lukko U20		HPK U20

	1	X	2
	1.97	4.02	3.03	Watch
	1.92	4.1	3.11
	1.89	3.95	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.92)	4.02 ↓ (4.1)	3.03 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukko U20
47.3%

Draw
22.6%

HPK U20
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

22.5%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

21.8%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukko U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

HPK U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko U20 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK U20 than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Lukko U20 - HPK U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
14:35, 0 - 1, Kaikkonen T. (G), Pulli T. (A), Ketonen A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
08:47, 0 - 2, Fagerstrom V. (G), Lehtonen O. (A), Ketonen A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 3)
08:56, 0 - 3, Huttunen R. (G), Makinen I. (A), Seikkula E. (A2)
09:38, 0 - 4, Viitaluoma V. (G), Ekholm J. (A), Viitaluoma V. (A2)
14:51, 0 - 5, Viitaluoma V. (G), Ekholm J. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko U20 won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Lukko U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Lukko U20 has had a series of away games.

Lukko U20 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Lukko U20 will win today's game, with odds of 1.92.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Lukko U20 won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 62:50. (average 3.3:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Lukko U20 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:25. (average 3.9:2.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Lukko U20 - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 47.95%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukko U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
24.10.25	Tappara U20 - Lukko U20	1:3 ✺
18.10.25	Jokerit U20 - Lukko U20	3:1 ✺
17.10.25	Lukko U20 - SaiPa U20	3:0 ✺
12.10.25	JYP U20 - Lukko U20	4:3 penalties ✺
11.10.25	Kärpät U20 - Lukko U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWLW
- HPK U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
24.10.25	HPK U20 - KalPa U20	5:4 penalties ✺
18.10.25	KalPa U20 - HPK U20	4:3 penalties ✺
17.10.25	HPK U20 - Pelicans U20	7:4 ✺
11.10.25	HPK U20 - SaiPa U20	3:4 OT ✺
10.10.25	Ilves U20 - HPK U20	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
28.02.25	HPK U20 - Lukko U20	1:4
13.02.25	Lukko U20 - HPK U20	3:4 penalties
26.10.24	Lukko U20 - HPK U20	6:3
02.12.23	HPK U20 - Lukko U20	3:4 penalties
28.10.23	Lukko U20 - HPK U20	2:1 penalties
07.10.22	HPK U20 - Lukko U20	0:3
11.03.22	Lukko U20 - HPK U20	7:3

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