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Current Win Probability
Ilves 53.7%
Draw 22.6%
Jokerit 23.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54.7%
22.4%
22.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.1%
23.5%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Jokerit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jokerit than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Ilves - Jokerit Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
40. Armalis M. (G)
32. Karhunen T. (G)
27. Strand A.
43. Krogdahl M.
57. Parikka J.
52. Tuomola R.
29. Looke J.
7. Fortier M.
92. Henman L. (A)
28. Nikkanen H.
67. Haatanen A.
21. Kalapudas A.
Line 2
43. Latvala O.
4. Caito M.
6. Sund T.
53. Elorinne A. (A)
71. Korhonen B.
82. Tuulola E.
44. Jarvinen J. (C)
11. Virta P.
25. Hynninen T.
33. Hannikainen M. (C)
Line 3
77. Loof L.
98. Larsen O.
28. Nyberg J.
55. Pulli V.
46. Torok M.
22. Forslund A.
11. Borg E. (A)
71. Curry P. (A)
22. Engberg T.
74. Henriksson J.
Line 4
3. Utunen T.
47. Forsblom S.
38. Teuho-Markkola T.
12. Tumanovs M.
19. Lantta J.
19. Nalli M.
20. Liljeberg M.
92. Mustonen A.
29. Kallio B.
Substitutes
15. Kos O.
31. Eriksson Ek O. (G)
65. Rifalk C. (G)
Coaches
. Niemela T.
. Hahl J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 2)
02:47, 0 - 1, Fortier M. (G), Kalapudas A. (A),
07:17, 0 - 2, Hannikainen M. (G), Elorinne A. (A), Pulli V. (A2)
14:49, 1 - 2, Looke J. (G), Henman L. (A),
19:26, 2 - 2, Torok M. (G), Engberg T. (A), Sund T. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
06:32, 2 - 3, Curry P. (G), Caito M. (A), Henriksson J. (A2)
14:19, Engberg T. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
01:00, 3 - 3, Sund T. (G), Haatanen A. (A), Henman L. (A2)
09:07, Curry P. (2 min),
13:28, Krogdahl M. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 0)
1, Torok M. (Penalty Shot),
1, Kalapudas A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Haatanen A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Curry P. (Penalty Shot),
3, Looke J. (Penalty Shot),
3, Fortier M. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 16th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 3.
In recent outings, Ilves has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Jokerit is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Ilves may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Ilves is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Ilves has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:19 (averaging 1.6:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ilves against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 6:14 goals (averaging 1.2:2.8 per game).
Finland
Sweden
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Armalis M. (G) 
Karhunen T. (G) 
Strand A. 
Krogdahl M. 
Looke J. 
Caito M. 
Larsen O. 
Torok M. 
Tumanovs M. 
Kos O. 
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