Match Info

Liiga

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Veikkaus Arena (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Jokerit		HIFK

	1	X	2
	2.01	4.25	2.85
	2.00	3.90	3.10
	2.12	3.95	3.05	Watch
	2.02	3.69	3.27
	2.03	4.02	3.11	Watch
	2	3.65	3.2
	2	4.2	3.09	Watch
	2.03	3.95	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.08)	3.95 ↓ (4.3)	3.08 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jokerit
46.1%

Draw
23.6%

HIFK
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

22.3%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

23.4%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jokerit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

HIFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jokerit than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Jokerit - HIFK Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
32. Karhunen T. (G)	60. Alnefelt H. (G)
43. Krogdahl M.	28. Pilo L.
52. Tuomola R.	25. Nassen L.
7. Fortier M.	43. Marleau V.
28. Nikkanen H.	77. Leschyshyn J.
71. Curry P. (A)	54. Somervuori J.
Line 2
4. Caito M.	67. Puutio K.
53. Elorinne A. (A)	83. Nemecek D.
82. Tuulola E.	88. Huuhtanen N. (A)
11. Virta P.	81. Pakarinen I. (C)
33. Hannikainen M. (C)	71. Makiaho D.
Line 3
98. Larsen O.	27. Ahlroth J.
55. Pulli V.	33. Kiviharju A.
25. Kuusla E.	82. Karjalainen A.
22. Forslund A.	18. Uronen A.
21. Kalapudas A.	72. Liukas E. (A)
Line 4
47. Forsblom S.	37. Sippola O.
74. Henriksson J.	11. Melart I.
92. Mustonen A.	38. Karjalahti F.
29. Kallio B.	19. Leppanen O.
	93. Vanhatalo L.
Substitutes
31. Eriksson Ek O. (G)	53. Varonen V. (G)
20. Lahnaviik R.
Coaches
. Hahl J.	. Jokinen O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
06:03, Tuomola R. (2 min),
09:57, 1 - 0, Mustonen A. (G), Pulli V. (A),
17:39, Huuhtanen N. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
00:09, Nikkanen H. (2 min),
12:26, Nemecek D. (2 min),
16:57, 1 - 1, Makiaho D. (G), Leschyshyn J. (A), Nemecek D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
07:13, 2 - 1, Fortier M. (G), Nikkanen H. (A), Pulli V. (A2)
08:27, Melart I. (5 min),
09:27, Caito M. (2 min),
17:20, Virta P. (2 min),
17:20, Liukas E. (2 min),
19:16, 2 - 2, Makiaho D. (G), Pakarinen I. (A),
Overtime (1 - 0)
03:53, 3 - 2, Forslund A. (G), Kuusla E. (A),

Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 15th in the Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jokerit won 3.

Recent results have been tough for Jokerit (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by HIFK have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Jokerit may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Jokerit holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Jokerit has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 36:21 (averaging 2.1:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Jokerit against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 19:9 goals (averaging 2.4:1.1 per game).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

IFK Helsinki: 4.72% Jokerit: 3.58%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
15	IFK Helsinki	10	2	1	2	5	25:33	10
16	Jokerit	12	2	1	2	7	25:39	10

Last Results with these Odds

Jokerit - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 46.17%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

HIFK - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 31.49%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jokerit hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
03.10.26	SaiPa - Jokerit	3:2 ✺
02.10.26	Tappara - Jokerit	3:2 AET ✺
29.09.26	Jokerit - HPK	3:0 ✺
26.09.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Jokerit	4:1 ✺
25.09.26	Jokerit - TPS	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLL
- HIFK Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
03.10.26	Vaasan Sport - HIFK	2:3 OT ✺
26.09.26	Pelicans - HIFK	2:1 ✺
25.09.26	HIFK - JYP	3:4 ✺
23.09.26	HIFK - Kärpät	3:1 ✺
19.09.26	HIFK - Lukko	2:3 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
01.03.14	Jokerit - HIFK	1:2
28.12.13	HIFK - Jokerit	1:2
29.11.13	Jokerit - HIFK	1:4
18.10.13	HIFK - Jokerit	2:4
15.09.13	Jokerit - HIFK	3:0
European Trophy
31.08.13	HIFK - Jokerit	0:4
30.08.13	Jokerit - HIFK	2:0

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