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Current Win Probability
Tappara 59.2%
Draw 20.6%
Jokerit 20.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
61.6%
20.1%
18.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.8%
21%
19.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tappara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Jokerit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jokerit than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Tappara - Jokerit Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Heljanko C. (G)
32. Karhunen T. (G)
26. Mattila Je. (A)
43. Krogdahl M.
23. Jokipakka J.
52. Tuomola R.
88. Blichfeld J.
7. Fortier M.
22. Rasanen A. (C)
28. Nikkanen H.
78. Rautiainen B.
71. Curry P. (A)
Line 2
72. Kulonummi K.
4. Caito M.
38. Almari N.
53. Elorinne A. (A)
11. Simontaival K.
82. Tuulola E.
89. Suvanto O.
11. Virta P.
25. Haapala H.
33. Hannikainen M. (C)
Line 3
63. Tuulola J. (A)
98. Larsen O.
33. Strandell O.
55. Pulli V.
94. Vanhatalo V.
25. Kuusla E.
40. Sallinen T.
22. Forslund A.
87. Fabre D.
21. Kalapudas A.
Line 4
5. Rasanen I.
41. Manninen O.
41. Nykanen J.
74. Henriksson J.
28. Wia W.
19. Nalli M.
34. Vaarala V.
92. Mustonen A.
17. Pavel O.
29. Kallio B.
Substitutes
77. Metsola J. (G)
31. Eriksson Ek O. (G)
Coaches
. Jalonen K.
. Hahl J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
05:09, (2 min),
17:10, (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
00:41, 1 - 0, Rautiainen B. (G), Mattila Je. (A), Blichfeld J. (A2)
03:39, Nikkanen H. (2 min),
07:41, Tuulola J. (2 min),
10:00, 1 - 1, Fortier M. (G), Nikkanen H. (A), Kuusla E. (A2)
13:18, 2 - 1, Sallinen T. (G), Wia W. (A), Mattila Je. (A2)
15:44, Caito M. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:32, 2 - 2, Fortier M. (G), Kuusla E. (A), Caito M. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
04:15, 3 - 2, Blichfeld J. (G), Rasanen A. (A),
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 9th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 16th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Tappara could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Jokerit has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Tappara carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for Tappara in today's match, at odds of 1.51.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Tappara has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 33:33 (averaging 2.4:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tappara against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 14:17 goals (averaging 2.3:2.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
9
Tappara
17
7
2
2
6
50:41
27
16
Jokerit
16
3
1
3
9
36:53
14
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Tappara: 22.62% Jokerit: 3.68%
Last Results with these Odds
Tappara - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 61.6%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Finland
Sweden
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Heljanko C. (G) 
Krogdahl M. 
Blichfeld J. 
Fortier M. 
Curry P. (A) 
Strandell O. 
Fabre D. 
Pavel O. 
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