Match Info

Liiga

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Tampere Deck Arena (Tampere)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Ilves		JYP

	1	X	2
	1.77	4.75	3.5
	1.86	4.3	3.53	Watch
	1.81	4.13	3.73
	1.75	4	3.25
	1.86	4.4	3.36	Watch
	1.86	4	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.83)	4.26 ↓ (4.36)	3.5 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilves
51.4%

Draw
21.9%

JYP
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

21.4%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

22.8%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

JYP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JYP than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Ilves - JYP Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ilves (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 1.

Ilves is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

JYP's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ilves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ilves has had a series of home games.

Recently, JYP has had a series of away games.

Ilves will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Ilves will win today's game, with odds of 1.83.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 65:44. (average 3.3:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:18. (average 3.4:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Ilves	12	8	1	0	3	36:24	26
5	JYP	10	7	0	0	3	30:25	21

Last Results with these Odds

JYP - the odds 3.39 are the expected chance of winning is 27.54%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilves hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
10.01.26	Ilves - HIFK	6:0 ✺
09.01.26	HIFK - Ilves	1:0 ✺
07.01.26	Ilves - Vaasan Sport	3:2 OT ✺
03.01.26	Ilves - TPS	5:2 ✺
30.12.25	Ilves - Kärpät	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWW
- JYP Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
10.01.26	JYP - KalPa	2:5 ✺
09.01.26	KooKoo - JYP	6:1 ✺
03.01.26	HIFK - JYP	5:3 ✺
30.12.25	HPK - JYP	2:3 OT ✺
27.12.25	Kärpät - JYP	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
24.09.25	Ilves - JYP	1:5
10.09.25	JYP - Ilves	4:3
22.02.25	JYP - Ilves	3:1
28.01.25	Ilves - JYP	6:3
11.12.24	JYP - Ilves	6:2
16.11.24	Ilves - JYP	5:2
01.03.24	JYP - Ilves	0:3

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