The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
JYP 53.9%
Draw 21.2%
KalPa 25%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.9%
21.3%
28.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.6%
22.3%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
JYP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
KalPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for JYP than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with JYP that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KalPa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
20%
40%
JYP - KalPa Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. JYP will win (votes: 2 - 40%). KalPa will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
34. Setanen O. (G)
47. Boyko T. (G)
44. Vatanen S. (A)
6. Westerlund F. (A)
31. Peltola E.
97. Kanak L.
39. Ojantakanen V.
70. Hartikainen T. (A)
7. True A.
28. Rissanen J. (C)
43. Jaatinen O.
20. Klemetti A.
Line 2
29. Winberg T.
55. Lappalainen L.
63. Bourque T.
18. Gallet H.
77. Tukiainen L.
22. Borchardt C.
28. Lassila J. (C)
12. Saarelainen J.
71. Puustinen J. (A)
42. Kapanen K.
Line 3
18. Jokinen R.
52. Tornberg A.
4. Liikonen V.
7. Mononen V.
25. Jormakka P.
86. Kombe K.
17. Makinen O.
16. Okany A.
40. Torgersson D.
41. Kononen J.
Line 4
2. Pulli J.
89. Ketola J.
91. Nieminen V.
39. Mykra O.
89. Tyrvainen A.
14. Lantta J.
92. Vidgren A.
15. Korkiakoski T.
Substitutes
35. Salminen O. (G)
40. Lekkas S. (G)
Coaches
. Matikainen P.
. Tervonen S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
04:09, 1 - 0, Bourque T. (G), Lassila J. (A), Winberg T. (A2)
07:20, Ketola J. (2 min),
09:53, Gallet H. (2 min),
17:24, Gallet H. (2 min),
19:46, Hartikainen T. (2 min),
19:46, Kononen J. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
06:27, (2 min),
08:30, 1 - 1, Kapanen K. (G), Okany A. (A), Westerlund F. (A2)
12:57, 1 - 2, Okany A. (G), Kononen J. (A), Lappalainen L. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
05:14, (2 min),
07:17, 1 - 3, Klemetti A. (G), Saarelainen J. (A), Okany A. (A2)
09:32, Lassila J. (2 min),
10:03, 1 - 4, Kapanen K. (G), Rissanen J. (A), Lappalainen L. (A2)
11:47, 1 - 5, Saarelainen J. (G), Hartikainen T. (A),
16:08, 2 - 5, Tukiainen L. (G), Vatanen S. (A), Lassila J. (A2)
18:02, Hartikainen T. (2 min),
19:15, Puustinen J. (2 min),
19:15, Westerlund F. (2 min),
19:15, Puustinen J. (2 min),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JYP won 3.
In recent matches, JYP has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
KalPa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
KalPa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, JYP has had a series of away games.
JYP is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, JYP won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 59:62. (average 3:3.1).
Including home matches between the teams, JYP won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:34. (average 3.1:3.1).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
4
JYP
10
7
0
0
3
30:25
21
13
KalPa
10
4
0
1
5
26:23
13
Last Results with these Odds
KalPa - the odds 3.24 are the expected chance of winning is 28.8%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Finland
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Setanen O. (G) 
Boyko T. (G) 
Westerlund F. (A) 
Kanak L. 
True A. 
Gallet H. 
Borchardt C. 
Kombe K. 
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