Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Kärpät U20		TPS U20

	1	X	2
	2	4.5	2.3
	2.36	3.91	2.46	Watch
	2.22	3.96	2.54
	2.21	3.85	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.36)	4.06 ↑ (3.91)	2.44 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kärpät U20
40.9%

Draw
22.2%

TPS U20
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

23.6%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

23.7%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kärpät U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

TPS U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät U20 than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS U20 than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Kärpät U20 - TPS U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
02:41, 1 - 0, Karassaari J. (G), Ruotsalainen V. (A), Vierimaa W. (A2)
16:39, 1 - 1, Kallio W. (G), Nummelin R. (A), Virtanen J. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
00:17, 2 - 1, Tauriainen A. (G), Ruotsalainen V. (A), Salovaara E. (A2)
02:39, 3 - 1, Gussander E. (G), Martinmaki K. (A), Ruotsalainen V. (A2)
13:48, 3 - 2, Elo S. (G), Uusikartano A. (A), Kaukonen J. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
12:44, 4 - 2, Martinmaki K. (G), Ruotsalainen V. (A), Viita F. (A2)
18:54, 5 - 2, Ruotsalainen V. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät U20 won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

TPS U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Kärpät U20 has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kärpät U20 won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 51:36. (average 2.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Kärpät U20 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:22. (average 2.9:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kärpät U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
25.10.25	Kärpät U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Kärpät U20 - HIFK U20	4:3 OT ✺
17.10.25	JYP U20 - Kärpät U20	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Kärpät U20 - KalPa U20	6:3 ✺
11.10.25	Kärpät U20 - Lukko U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWL
- TPS U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
25.10.25	RoKi U20 - TPS U20	3:4 penalties ✺
18.10.25	TPS U20 - SaiPa U20	3:2 ✺
17.10.25	TPS U20 - Jokerit U20	3:4 penalties ✺
11.10.25	TPS U20 - Pelicans U20	3:2 penalties ✺
04.10.25	Tappara U20 - TPS U20	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
21.09.24	TPS U20 - Kärpät U20	0:5
15.09.24	Kärpät U20 - TPS U20	1:0
02.02.24	Kärpät U20 - TPS U20	5:2
12.10.23	Kärpät U20 - TPS U20	7:0
03.03.23	Kärpät U20 - TPS U20	3:4 OT
20.01.23	TPS U20 - Kärpät U20	5:0
22.10.22	Kärpät U20 - TPS U20	1:2

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