Match Info

FINLAND: MESTIS

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo


	Kiekko-Espoo		IPK

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.8	2.75
	1.98	4.2	3	Watch
	1.94	4.33	2.74
	2.03	4.35	2.99
	2.04	4.33	2.82
	2.09	4.1	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.23)	4.19 ↑ (4.03)	2.83 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kiekko-Espoo
45.2%

Draw
22.1%

IPK
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

22.9%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

24.1%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kiekko-Espoo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

IPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for IPK than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Kiekko Espoo - IPK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

IPK is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kiekko-Espoo won 1.

Recent matches Kiekko-Espoo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

IPK is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

IPK could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Kiekko-Espoo won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 48-38.

Including matches at home between the teams Kiekko-Espoo won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 25-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kiekko-Espoo
Finnish Mestis
28.02.24	Kiekko-Espoo - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	5:4 ✺
27.02.24	TuTo - Kiekko-Espoo	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	Jokerit - Kiekko-Espoo	4:3 ✺
16.02.24	Koovee - Kiekko-Espoo	1:5 ✺
14.02.24	Kiekko-Espoo - KeuPa	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLWW
- Iisalmen Peli-Karhut
Finnish Mestis
01.03.24	Koovee - IPK	1:3 ✺
24.02.24	KeuPa - IPK	2:6 ✺
23.02.24	IPK - Kiekko-Vantaa	4:0 ✺
21.02.24	IPK - TuTo	4:5 penalties ✺
17.02.24	Hokki - IPK	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
10.02.24	IPK - Kiekko-Espoo	7:2
05.01.24	Kiekko-Espoo - IPK	1:3
07.10.23	IPK - Kiekko-Espoo	2:1
08.03.23	Kiekko-Espoo - IPK	8:1
23.02.23	IPK - Kiekko-Espoo	3:1
Finnish Cup Hockey
11.11.22	IPK - Kiekko-Espoo	2:3 penalties
Finnish Mestis
22.10.22	IPK - Kiekko-Espoo	2:7

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