The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kiekko-Espoo 41.2%
Draw 24.4%
TPS 34.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.9%
25.4%
34.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.9%
26.7%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kiekko-Espoo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-3%)
Kiekko Espoo - TPS Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Rimpinen P. (G)
36. Makiniemi E. (G)
8. Corcoran C.
6. Rafkin R. (A)
51. Nakyva K.
44. Lindbohm P.
77. From M.
97. Haudum L.
78. Tuomaala A.
21. Maatta J.
4. Kangasniemi I.
22. Bryggman L. (A)
Line 2
47. Lajunen V. (A)
38. Landen A.
3. Keskitalo M.
40. Lehtonen S.
28. Hamalainen J.
25. Ikonen Jo.
15. King C.
86. Yliniemi S.
16. Vaisanen J.
24. Virtanen J.
Line 3
55. Kotkansalo K.
2. Tuhkala A.
7. Jurmo J.
61. Binner A.
76. Sallinen J. (C)
17. Fugleberg P.
71. Jarvinen M. (A)
13. Paajanen O. (C)
17. Talvitie A.
19. Savinainen V.
Line 4
21. Peltomaki N.
10. Ylitalo N.
90. Salovaara E.
7. Lauridsen O.
24. Lajunen J.
84. Pikkarainen K.
14. Keinanen J.
57. Munkki V.
9. Koivu A.
Substitutes
25. Puolanne E.
32. Vali N. (G)
35. Rajaniemi S. (G)
Coaches
. Aho J.
. Soderholm T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
06:12, Rafkin R. (2 min),
07:25, 1 - 0, Talvitie A. (G), Lajunen J. (A), Corcoran C. (A2)
09:57, Vaisanen J. (2 min),
15:03, 1 - 1, Ikonen Jo. (Penalty Shot),
15:03, Talvitie A. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
02:43, 2 - 1, Vaisanen J. (G), Jurmo J. (A), Hamalainen J. (A2)
16:35, Keskitalo M. (2 min),
19:56, Ikonen Jo. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 3)
01:22, 3 - 1, From M. (G), Sallinen J. (A), Vaisanen J. (A2)
03:55, 4 - 1, From M. (G), Lajunen V. (A), Tuomaala A. (A2)
04:34, 4 - 2, Savinainen V. (G), Rafkin R. (A), Fugleberg P. (A2)
09:58, 4 - 3, Yliniemi S. (G), Virtanen J. (A), Lehtonen S. (A2)
17:56, Nakyva K. (2 min),
18:34, 4 - 4, Haudum L. (G), Binner A. (A), Paajanen O. (A2)
18:34, Lajunen V. (2 min),
Overtime (1 - 0)
04:33, 5 - 4, From M. (G), Tuomaala A. (A), Lajunen V. (A2)
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 10th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 8th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo won 3.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Kiekko-Espoo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Kiekko-Espoo has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:30 (averaging 2.9:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kiekko-Espoo against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 20:9 goals (averaging 4:1.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
7
TPS Turku
18
8
1
2
7
51:47
28
10
Kiekko-Espoo
18
6
2
3
7
54:48
25
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
TPS Turku: 5.3% Kiekko-Espoo: 3.79%
Last Results with these Odds
Kiekko-Espoo - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.91%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Finland
Sweden
Watch
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Rimpinen P. (G) 
Corcoran C. 
From M. 
Haudum L. 
Bryggman L. (A) 
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