The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
KalPa 36.5%
Draw 24%
Ilves 39.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36%
24.6%
39.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.3%
27.5%
35.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KalPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
KalPa - Ilves Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
40. Lekkas S. (G)
65. Rifalk C. (G)
57. Lyytinen J.
27. Strand A.
18. Gallet H.
57. Parikka J.
70. Hartikainen T. (A)
29. Looke J.
91. Vilen E.
9. Jasek L.
9. Maenpaa J.
92. Henman L. (A)
Line 2
97. Kanak L.
43. Latvala O.
8. Ruotsalainen V.
6. Sund T.
22. Borchardt C.
67. Haatanen A.
12. Saarelainen J.
44. Jarvinen J. (C)
42. Kapanen K.
46. Torok M.
Line 3
55. Lappalainen L. (A)
77. Loof L.
4. Jokinen M.
28. Nyberg J.
54. Piitulainen J.
15. Kos O.
28. Rissanen J. (C)
11. Borg E. (A)
20. Klemetti A.
22. Engberg T.
Line 4
89. Ketola J.
3. Utunen T.
3. Karlsson A.
26. Niskanen A.
86. Kombe K.
86. Heikkinen I.
85. Somppi O.
19. Lantta J.
41. Kononen J.
71. Korhonen B.
Substitutes
35. Korhonen R. (G)
40. Armalis M. (G)
Coaches
. Tervonen S.
. Niemela T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
00:06, Lyytinen J. (2 min),
09:46, 0 - 1, Heikkinen I. (G),
18:33, Engberg T. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
02:22, 0 - 2, Korhonen B. (G),
02:22, Loof L. (2 min),
09:34, 1 - 2, Rissanen J. (G), Piitulainen J. (A), Jokinen M. (A2)
10:04, Nyberg J. (2 min),
10:50, Latvala O. (2 min),
11:51, Lyytinen J. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
01:32, Loof L. (5 min),
05:32, (2 min),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 2.
In recent outings, KalPa has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Ilves shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Recently, Ilves has had a run of games away from home.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, KalPa has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 55:59 (averaging 2.8:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for KalPa against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 39:32 goals (averaging 3.9:3.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
Ilves
12
8
1
0
3
36:24
26
13
KalPa
10
4
0
1
5
26:23
13
Last Results with these Odds
Ilves - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.4%, but this team recently wins 52% of matches with these odds.