Match Info

Liiga

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Lumon Areena (Kouvola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	KooKoo		Ässät

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.5	4.5
	1.69	4.38	4.33	Watch
	1.64	4.05	4.13
	1.66	4.34	4.31	Watch
	1.6	4.2	3.9
	1.65	4.65	4.14	Watch
	1.64	4.3	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.68)	4.35 ↑ (4.11)	4.23 ↓ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KooKoo
56.7%

Draw
21.3%

Ässät
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

22.7%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

25.4%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KooKoo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Ässät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KooKoo than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KooKoo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

KooKoo - Ässät Predictions

Users Predictions: KooKoo will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): KooKoo will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
32. Jatkola J. (G)	39. Lindberg F. (G)
43. Loponen K.	37. Maatta R. (A)
41. Berger J.	25. Boelius L.
82. Meskanen V.	72. Josling S.
71. Siikonen M. (A)	44. Jarvinen J. (C)
88. Rooba R. (A)	92. Alasiurua A.
Line 2
28. Ahlroth J.	67. Puutio K.
42. Suomi J.	80. Nurmi P.
10. Sulku S.	88. Olofsson J.
70. Davidsson M.	74. Tiivola P. (A)
24. Miettinen V.	75. Nyman L.
Line 3
17. Grondahl A.	8. Viljanen V.
6. Riekkinen J.	3. Anttalainen A.
22. Luoto O.	16. Noiva N.
13. Paajanen O. (C)	19. Juhola P.
11. Mazura T.	47. Tammela J.
Line 4
77. Puhakka V.	55. Riihinen P.
15. Jaakola O.	9. Lipiainen V.
27. Makinen A.	86. Knihti F.
55. Gallo V.	63. Kostilainen S.
Substitutes
35. Myllykangas A. (G)	32. Taponen R. (G)
Coaches
. Myrra J.	. Pikkarainen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
02:17, (2 min),
02:49, 0 - 1, Josling S. (G), Puutio K. (A), Jarvinen J. (A2)
09:45, 1 - 1, Luoto O. (G), Paajanen O. (A), Riekkinen J. (A2)
11:45, Josling S. (2 min),
13:49, 2 - 1, Meskanen V. (G), Loponen K. (A), Rooba R. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
08:18, Viljanen V. (2 min),
12:53, Knihti F. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19:29, 3 - 1, Paajanen O. (G), Luoto O. (A), Jatkola J. (A2)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KooKoo won 3.

KooKoo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ässät is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

KooKoo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, KooKoo is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KooKoo won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 53:44. (average 2.7:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, KooKoo won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 2.3:2.3).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

KooKoo: 1.04%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Assat	12	6	1	2	3	30:27	22
17	KooKoo	12	1	0	1	10	25:52	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KooKoo
Finnish SM-liiga
31.01.26	KooKoo - TPS	5:1 ✺
28.01.26	Ässät - KooKoo	2:5 ✺
24.01.26	KooKoo - Kiekko-Espoo	5:1 ✺
17.01.26	KooKoo - Pelicans	1:2 ✺
16.01.26	Kiekko-Espoo - KooKoo	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWLL
- Ässät hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
31.01.26	Kärpät - Ässät	0:4 ✺
30.01.26	KalPa - Ässät	2:3 OT ✺
28.01.26	Ässät - KooKoo	2:5 ✺
24.01.26	Lukko - Ässät	3:5 ✺
23.01.26	Ässät - Lukko	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
28.01.26	Ässät - KooKoo	2:5
31.10.25	Ässät - KooKoo	1:2
09.09.25	KooKoo - Ässät	1:5
28.02.25	KooKoo - Ässät	4:3 penalties
13.11.24	Ässät - KooKoo	4:3
30.10.24	Ässät - KooKoo	4:1
09.10.24	KooKoo - Ässät	4:3 penalties

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