Match Info
LiigaDate: 13 March 2026, FridayLocation: Isomäki Areena (Pori)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Ässät |
|
TPS |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.18 |
4 |
2.8 |
|
 |
2.3 |
3.7 |
2.95 |
|
 |
2.26 |
3.75 |
2.82 |
|
 |
2.26 |
3.77 |
2.8 |
 Watch |
 |
2.15 |
3.7 |
2.6 |
|
 |
2.22 |
3.98 |
2.77 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(1.8) |
3.82 ↓
(3.9) |
2.79 ↓
(3.2) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
- The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ässät
42% | Draw
24.5% | TPS
33.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ässät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ässät's form might have worsened.TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting TPS's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ässät, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-4.6%)Ässät - TPS Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Ässät will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). TPS will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ässät (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2 
#ad
Lineups
| Line 1 |
|---|
30.  Bednar J. (G)
| 36.  Makiniemi E. (G)
|
67. Puutio K.
| 2. Tuhkala A.
|
37. Maatta R. (A)
| 61.  Binner A.
|
9. Lipiainen V.
| 49. Wernblom L.
|
74. Tiivola P. (A)
| 86. Yliniemi S.
|
78.  Fabre D.
| 82. Pakkila E.
|
| Line 2 |
|---|
10. Nilsson O.
| 6. Rafkin R. (C)
|
3. Anttalainen A.
| 40. Lehtonen S.
|
88. Olofsson J.
| 10. Ylitalo N.
|
44. Jarvinen J. (C)
| 21. Maatta J. (A)
|
63. Kostilainen S.
| 19. Savinainen V.
|
| Line 3 |
|---|
55. Riihinen P.
| 38. Landen A.
|
80. Nurmi P.
| 7.  Lauridsen O. (A)
|
16. Noiva N.
| 84. Pikkarainen K.
|
19. Juhola P.
| 26. Nassen L.
|
47. Tammela J.
| 87. Saarela A.
|
| Line 4 |
|---|
77. Piipponen S.
| 5. Sjoholm V.
|
18. Ylitalo O.
| 9. Koivu A.
|
14.  Sebok B.
| 20. Myllymaa K.
|
20. Talaja R.
| 67. Ruokonen M.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
39. Lindberg F. (G)
| 30. Ruusu M. (G)
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Pikkarainen J.
| . Soderholm T.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 14:16, 1 - 0, Noiva N. (G), Juhola P. (A),
- 2nd Period (3 - 1)
- 04:27, 2 - 0, Kostilainen S. (G), Nurmi P. (A), Piipponen S. (A2)
- 07:03, 3 - 0, Ylitalo O. (G), Anttalainen A. (A), Piipponen S. (A2)
- 08:13, Jarvinen J. (2 min),
- 09:01, 3 - 1, Wernblom L. (G), Binner A. (A), Savinainen V. (A2)
- 16:19, Landen A. (2 min),
- 17:23, 4 - 1, Noiva N. (G), Jarvinen J. (A), Puutio K. (A2)
- 3rd Period (2 - 1)
- 00:01, Makiniemi E. ↓, Ruusu M. ↑,
- 00:18, Yliniemi S. (2 min),
- 01:35, 5 - 1, Noiva N. (G), Jarvinen J. (A), Olofsson J. (A2)
- 06:40, 5 - 2, Lauridsen O. (G), Rafkin R. (A), Yliniemi S. (A2)
- 14:53, 6 - 2, Lipiainen V. (G), Fabre D. (A),
- 16:56, Sjoholm V. (2 min),
- 19:15, Anttalainen A. (2 min),
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13). Ässät is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 4.Ässät has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).TPS is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Ässät may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 49:51. (average 2.5:2.6).Including home matches between the teams, Ässät won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:27. (average 2.7:2.5).
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
TPS Turku: 2.54%
Standings
| | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
|
|
| 3 | Assat | 12 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 30:27 | 22 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 11 | TPS Turku | 11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 29:25 | 16 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Last Results with these Odds
Ässät - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 49.41%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
