Match Info

KHL

Date: 8 September 2025, Monday

Location: Lada Arena (Togliatti)


	Lada Togliatti		Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg

	1	X	2
	3.6	4.09	1.97
	3.33	4.26	1.95	Watch
	3.2	4.1	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (3.15)	4.15 ↑ (4.1)	1.95 (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lada Togliatti
28.2%

Draw
22.9%

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

22.7%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

22.3%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lada Togliatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Lada Togliatti - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Avtomobilist (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Avtomobilist (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Trushkov A. (G)	18. Alikin Y. (G)
27. Cotton A.	9. Blacker J.
42. Syomin V. (C)	88. Tryamkin N. (C)
18. Kugryshev D.	16. Boucher R.
13. Sawchuk R. (A)	77. Da Costa S.
10. Chivilyov A.	92. Gorbunov R.
Line 2
81. Hollowell M.	2. Zborovsky S.
74. Zhukov K.	55. Vorobyov K. (A)
66. Mikhailov N. (A)	17. Macek B.
92. Lawrence J.	86. Sharov A.
93. Khokhlachev A.	97. Kizimov S.
Line 3
8. Zemchyonok A.	21. Osipov M. (A)
57. Rykov Y.	7. Busygin Y.
97. Dyadenkin D.	24. Denezhkin M.
21. Savchik I.	28. Byvaltsev A.
25. Romanov I.	31. Khripunov S.
Line 4
64. Belousov M.	79. Tarasov M.
63. Groshev Y.	91. Malorosiyanov D.
58. Obidin A.	19. Chernikov Y.
17. Osnovin V.	81. Romantsev D.
	99. Shashkov N.
Substitutes
60. Bocharov I. (G)	1. Galkin V. (G)
Coaches
. Mironov B.	. Zavarukhin N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
02:31, Zborovsky S. (2 min),
08:52, 1 - 0, Chivilyov A. (G), Kugryshev D. (A), Hollowell M. (A2)
09:24, 1 - 1, Macek B. (G), Busygin Y. (A), Sharov A. (A2)
14:44, 1 - 2, Busygin Y. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
12:42, Romanov I. (2 min),
15:09, 2 - 2, Kugryshev D. (G), Sawchuk R. (A),
17:36, Busygin Y. (2 min),
17:49, Khokhlachev A. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
01:25, 3 - 2, Dyadenkin D. (G), Zemchyonok A. (A),
04:14, 4 - 2, Syomin V. (G),
06:25, Lawrence J. (2 min),
14:22, Vorobyov K. (2 min),
17:39, 4 - 3, Macek B. (G), Sharov A. (A), Vorobyov K. (A2)
19:39, Macek B. (5 min),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lada won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Lada may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Avtomobilist has had a series of away games.

Avtomobilist might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lada won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 41:60. (average 2.1:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lada won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:27. (average 1.2:2.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Lada Togliatti - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 29.55%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 47.74%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Lada Togliatti
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
29.08.25	Lada Togliatti - Sochi	3:2 OT ✺
28.08.25	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Lada Togliatti	5:1 ✺
26.08.25	Lada Togliatti - Amur Khabarovsk	1:2 OT ✺
25.08.25	Sochi - Lada Togliatti	1:3 ✺
19.08.25	Lada Togliatti - Ak Bars Kazan	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLWW
- Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
02.09.25	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	4:3 penalties ✺
29.08.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	2:1 ✺
27.08.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	0:1 ✺
26.08.25	Ak Bars Kazan - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	1:6 ✺
19.08.25	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
02.02.25	Lada Togliatti - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	2:4
24.01.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Lada Togliatti	5:3
30.12.24	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Lada Togliatti	2:3 penalties
22.09.24	Lada Togliatti - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	0:1
13.01.24	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Lada Togliatti	3:4 OT
09.01.24	Lada Togliatti - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	1:4
24.12.23	Lada Togliatti - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	1:5

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